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icon for Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

icon for Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

Up

89% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO

Up

89% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).Recent German state elections, including Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate earlier in 2026, recorded turnout increases to 69.6% and 68.5% respectively, reflecting sustained voter engagement amid competitive races. In Berlin, the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election features an expanded electorate of over 2.5 million eligible voters—up from the 2023 repeat vote—due to higher naturalizations and the first inclusion of 16- and 17-year-olds. Current polling shows a fragmented field with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Greens closely contesting seats, while the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition risks losing its majority, factors that historically boost mobilization and participation in Landtag contests. Traders' strong consensus for higher turnout aligns with these structural and competitive dynamics.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.

If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.

The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Volume
$1,961
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).Recent German state elections, including Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate earlier in 2026, recorded turnout increases to 69.6% and 68.5% respectively, reflecting sustained voter engagement amid competitive races. In Berlin, the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election features an expanded electorate of over 2.5 million eligible voters—up from the 2023 repeat vote—due to higher naturalizations and the first inclusion of 16- and 17-year-olds. Current polling shows a fragmented field with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Greens closely contesting seats, while the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition risks losing its majority, factors that historically boost mobilization and participation in Landtag contests. Traders' strong consensus for higher turnout aligns with these structural and competitive dynamics.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.

If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.

The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Volume
$1,961
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

"Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?" ay isang araw-araw prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares kung ang presyo ng Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? ay magtatapos na mas mataas ("Up") o mas mababa ("Down") kaysa sa opening price nito sa loob ng araw-araw window na tinukoy sa titulo. Ang kasalukuyang market probability ay 89% para sa "Up." Ang presyong 89% ay nangangahulugang kolektibong binibigyan ng market ng 89% na tsansa ang outcome na iyon. Nag-a-update ang mga presyo sa real-time habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa live na mga pagbabago ng presyo ng Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay maaaring i-redeem ng $1 bawat isa kapag nag-resolve ang market.

"Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?" ay isang aktibong short-term market sa Polymarket. Maaaring mabilis na mag-accumulate ang trading volume habang umuusad ang araw-araw window — pumasok agad para tumulong sa pagtakda ng odds bago magsara ang window na ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?," magdesisyon kung naniniwala ka na ang presyo ng Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? sa tanghali ET ng September 20 ay magiging mas mataas ("Up") o mas mababa ("Down") kaysa sa presyo ng Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? sa tanghali ET ng August 6. Bumili ng "Up" kung sa tingin mo tataas ang presyo araw-araw, o "Down" kung sa tingin mo bababa. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome sa resolution, nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1.00. Kung mali, ang mga share ay nagkakahalaga ng $0.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?" ay 89% para sa "Up," na nangangahulugang ang Polymarket crowd ay kasalukuyang nagbibigay ng 89% na tsansa na ang presyo ng Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? ay magtatapos na up sa araw-araw window na ito. Ang mga odds na ito ay nag-a-update sa real-time habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa live na price data ng Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?. Sa buong araw, ang odds ay sumasalamin sa nagbabagong sentiment habang nagbubukas ang price action ng araw. Bumalik nang madalas o mag-trade ngayon bago magsara ang window.

Ang "Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?" market ay nire-resolve batay sa paghahambing ng presyo ng Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? sa tanghali ET ng September 20 kumpara sa tanghali ET ng August 6, gamit ang Binance BERLIN-STATE-ELECTION-TURNOUT/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. Kung mas mataas ang presyo sa September 20 sa tanghali, ang outcome ay "Up"; kung mas mababa, "Down"; kung pantay, ang market ay nire-resolve 50-50. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria at data source sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito.