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Politika·Alkalde

Bratislava Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Bratislava Mayoral Election Winner
Politika·Alkalde

Bratislava Mayoral Election Winner

Matúš Vallo 82%

Jozef Ráž 11%

Martin Winkler 6%

Zuzana Šubová 3.1%

Polymarket
BAGO

Matúš Vallo 82%

Jozef Ráž 11%

Martin Winkler 6%

Zuzana Šubová 3.1%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Matúš Vallo

Matúš Vallo

$469 Vol.

82%

icon for Jozef Ráž

Jozef Ráž

$120 Vol.

11%

icon for Martin Winkler

Martin Winkler

$81 Vol.

6%

icon for Zuzana Šubová

Zuzana Šubová

$156 Vol.

3%

icon for Dana Čahojová

Dana Čahojová

$115 Vol.

3%

icon for Miroslav Heredoš

Miroslav Heredoš

$269 Vol.

2%

icon for Ľubomír Geci

Ľubomír Geci

$172 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).Matúš Vallo holds an 81% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Bratislava mayoral race due to his position as two-term incumbent backed by a four-party coalition of Team Bratislava, Progressive Slovakia, SaS, and Democrats. Recent polls from June and July 2026 showed him with 37–42% first-choice support, well ahead of challengers. Jozef Ráž, the transport minister running as an independent with reported Smer backing, sits at 10.5% amid national political framing by Prime Minister Fico. Martin Winkler follows at 6%, with Zuzana Šubová, Dana Čahojová (who withdrew), and other listed candidates at lower levels reflecting limited polling traction. Key factors include Vallo’s June 2026 program launch emphasizing housing construction, expanded public transport, and municipal policing, alongside the October 24 election timeline and Bratislava’s established preference patterns for the incumbent coalition. No major late shifts have altered the market consensus.

The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Volume
$1,382
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 24, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://volby.statistics.sk/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).Matúš Vallo holds an 81% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Bratislava mayoral race due to his position as two-term incumbent backed by a four-party coalition of Team Bratislava, Progressive Slovakia, SaS, and Democrats. Recent polls from June and July 2026 showed him with 37–42% first-choice support, well ahead of challengers. Jozef Ráž, the transport minister running as an independent with reported Smer backing, sits at 10.5% amid national political framing by Prime Minister Fico. Martin Winkler follows at 6%, with Zuzana Šubová, Dana Čahojová (who withdrew), and other listed candidates at lower levels reflecting limited polling traction. Key factors include Vallo’s June 2026 program launch emphasizing housing construction, expanded public transport, and municipal policing, alongside the October 24 election timeline and Bratislava’s established preference patterns for the incumbent coalition. No major late shifts have altered the market consensus.

The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Volume
$1,382
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 24, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://volby.statistics.sk/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Bratislava Mayoral Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Matúš Vallo" sa 82%, sinusundan ng "Jozef Ráž" sa 11%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 82¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 82% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Bratislava Mayoral Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 31, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Bratislava Mayoral Election Winner," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Bratislava Mayoral Election Winner" ay "Matúš Vallo" sa 82%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 82% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Jozef Ráž" sa 11%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Bratislava Mayoral Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.