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icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place

Ronaldo Caiado 31%

Renan Santos 26%

Pablo Marçal 24%

Augusto Cury 21%

Polymarket
BAGO

Ronaldo Caiado 31%

Renan Santos 26%

Pablo Marçal 24%

Augusto Cury 21%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$58 Vol.

47%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$17 Vol.

27%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$28 Vol.

24%

icon for Augusto Cury

Augusto Cury

$31 Vol.

24%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$8 Vol.

14%

icon for Zema

Zema

$8 Vol.

9%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$117 Vol.

8%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$8 Vol.

6%

icon for Samara

Samara

$8 Vol.

6%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$98 Vol.

5%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$98 Vol.

5%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$8 Vol.

5%

icon for Lula

Lula

$108 Vol.

5%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling shows Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro locked in the top two spots for Brazil’s October 4 first round, leaving third and fourth positions open amid a fragmented field. Augusto Cury has surged into third in multiple surveys, while Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema trade single-digit support and trail closely for fourth. Pablo Marçal’s recent ineligibility ruling removed one variable but has not consolidated the lower tier. With the vote less than two weeks away and high undecided or blank shares, small shifts in turnout or late campaign momentum among center-right and anti-establishment voters could reorder the lower rankings reflected in current trader pricing.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$594
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling shows Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro locked in the top two spots for Brazil’s October 4 first round, leaving third and fourth positions open amid a fragmented field. Augusto Cury has surged into third in multiple surveys, while Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema trade single-digit support and trail closely for fourth. Pablo Marçal’s recent ineligibility ruling removed one variable but has not consolidated the lower tier. With the vote less than two weeks away and high undecided or blank shares, small shifts in turnout or late campaign momentum among center-right and anti-establishment voters could reorder the lower rankings reflected in current trader pricing.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$594
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 PM ET

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 13 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Ronaldo Caiado" sa 47%, sinusundan ng "Renan Santos" sa 27%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 47¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 47% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 22, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place," i-browse ang 13 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place" ay "Ronaldo Caiado" sa 47%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 47% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Renan Santos" sa 27%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.