Recent polling shows Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro locked in the top two spots for Brazil’s October 4 first round, leaving third and fourth positions open amid a fragmented field. Augusto Cury has surged into third in multiple surveys, while Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema trade single-digit support and trail closely for fourth. Pablo Marçal’s recent ineligibility ruling removed one variable but has not consolidated the lower tier. With the vote less than two weeks away and high undecided or blank shares, small shifts in turnout or late campaign momentum among center-right and anti-establishment voters could reorder the lower rankings reflected in current trader pricing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateRonaldo Caiado 31%
Renan Santos 26%
Pablo Marçal 24%
Augusto Cury 21%

Ronaldo Caiado
47%

Renan Santos
27%

Pablo Marçal
24%

Augusto Cury
24%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
14%

Zema
9%

Flavio Bolsonaro
8%

Hertz Dias
6%

Samara
6%

Clariana Barao
5%

Edmilson Costa
5%

Rui Costa Pimenta
5%

Lula
5%
Ronaldo Caiado 31%
Renan Santos 26%
Pablo Marçal 24%
Augusto Cury 21%

Ronaldo Caiado
47%

Renan Santos
27%

Pablo Marçal
24%

Augusto Cury
24%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
14%

Zema
9%

Flavio Bolsonaro
8%

Hertz Dias
6%

Samara
6%

Clariana Barao
5%

Edmilson Costa
5%

Rui Costa Pimenta
5%

Lula
5%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro locked in the top two spots for Brazil’s October 4 first round, leaving third and fourth positions open amid a fragmented field. Augusto Cury has surged into third in multiple surveys, while Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema trade single-digit support and trail closely for fourth. Pablo Marçal’s recent ineligibility ruling removed one variable but has not consolidated the lower tier. With the vote less than two weeks away and high undecided or blank shares, small shifts in turnout or late campaign momentum among center-right and anti-establishment voters could reorder the lower rankings reflected in current trader pricing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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