California's 26th congressional district maintains a Democratic partisan voting index of D+8 to D+9, and the June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin as the Democratic nominee against Republican challenger Sam Gallucci. Incumbent Democrat Julia Brownley is retiring from the open seat, yet major forecasters rate the November general election as Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on the district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with this structural advantage. A Republican outcome would require an unusually strong national environment or turnout surge capable of overcoming the district's established lean.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCA-26 House Election Winner
CA-26 House Election Winner
$29,443 Vol.
$29,443 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$29,443 Vol.
$29,443 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,836 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$13,607 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district maintains a Democratic partisan voting index of D+8 to D+9, and the June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin as the Democratic nominee against Republican challenger Sam Gallucci. Incumbent Democrat Julia Brownley is retiring from the open seat, yet major forecasters rate the November general election as Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on the district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with this structural advantage. A Republican outcome would require an unusually strong national environment or turnout surge capable of overcoming the district's established lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$29,443Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district maintains a Democratic partisan voting index of D+8 to D+9, and the June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin as the Democratic nominee against Republican challenger Sam Gallucci. Incumbent Democrat Julia Brownley is retiring from the open seat, yet major forecasters rate the November general election as Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on the district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with this structural advantage. A Republican outcome would require an unusually strong national environment or turnout surge capable of overcoming the district's established lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,443Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 26th congressional district maintains a Democratic partisan voting index of D+8 to D+9, and the June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin as the Democratic nominee against Republican challenger Sam Gallucci. Incumbent Democrat Julia Brownley is retiring from the open seat, yet major forecasters rate the November general election as Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on the district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with this structural advantage. A Republican outcome would require an unusually strong national environment or turnout surge capable of overcoming the district's established lean.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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