Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp global inventory draws, supporting WTI crude prices near $89–$94 per barrel as of early June despite a pullback from April peaks above $110. The EIA projects global oil stocks will decline by an average of 8.5 million barrels per day through the second quarter, sustaining elevated levels into late June before any meaningful production recovery narrows the backwardation. Weekly EIA inventory reports, potential signals of shipping resumption or ceasefire progress, and OPEC+ output decisions represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift trader sentiment on June price thresholds, with positioning reflecting the balance between persistent geopolitical risk premiums and expectations of normalization later in the quarter.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMakakaapekto ba ang Crude Oil (CL) sa__ sa katapusan ng Hunyo?
$22,316,337 Vol.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $175
2%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
4%
↑ $130
10%
↑ $120
13%
↑ $115
20%
↑ $110
28%
↑ $105
40%
↓ $85
55%
↓ $80
30%
↓ $70
7%
↓ $60
2%
↓ $55
1%
↓ $52
1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
<1%
$22,316,337 Vol.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $175
2%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
4%
↑ $130
10%
↑ $120
13%
↑ $115
20%
↑ $110
28%
↑ $105
40%
↓ $85
55%
↓ $80
30%
↓ $70
7%
↓ $60
2%
↓ $55
1%
↓ $52
1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp global inventory draws, supporting WTI crude prices near $89–$94 per barrel as of early June despite a pullback from April peaks above $110. The EIA projects global oil stocks will decline by an average of 8.5 million barrels per day through the second quarter, sustaining elevated levels into late June before any meaningful production recovery narrows the backwardation. Weekly EIA inventory reports, potential signals of shipping resumption or ceasefire progress, and OPEC+ output decisions represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift trader sentiment on June price thresholds, with positioning reflecting the balance between persistent geopolitical risk premiums and expectations of normalization later in the quarter.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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