Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have tightened global crude balances, driving sharp inventory draws that support WTI futures near $93 per barrel as of June 2. This risk premium underpins the 63% market-implied odds for a June settlement above $84, with recent rallies tied to fresh hostilities and uncertainty over ceasefire progress outweighing longer-term expectations of production recovery. EIA projections of 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 stock declines reinforce elevated levels into mid-June before potential normalization narrows the backwardation. Weekly inventory data, OPEC+ decisions, and any shipping resumption signals remain key near-term catalysts for trader positioning in these bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
>$84 63%
$77-$84 22%
$70-$77 12.3%
$63-$70 2.9%
$209,408 Vol.
$209,408 Vol.
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
3%
$70-$77
12%
$77-$84
22%
>$84
63%
>$84 63%
$77-$84 22%
$70-$77 12.3%
$63-$70 2.9%
$209,408 Vol.
$209,408 Vol.
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
3%
$70-$77
12%
$77-$84
22%
>$84
63%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have tightened global crude balances, driving sharp inventory draws that support WTI futures near $93 per barrel as of June 2. This risk premium underpins the 63% market-implied odds for a June settlement above $84, with recent rallies tied to fresh hostilities and uncertainty over ceasefire progress outweighing longer-term expectations of production recovery. EIA projections of 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 stock declines reinforce elevated levels into mid-June before potential normalization narrows the backwardation. Weekly inventory data, OPEC+ decisions, and any shipping resumption signals remain key near-term catalysts for trader positioning in these bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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