Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.2% in May, its highest level since September 2023, propelled by energy price surges tied to the Iran conflict and broader Middle East tensions. This development, alongside resilient services prices, has shifted ECB communications toward tighter policy, with futures markets and economist surveys now assigning near-certainty to a 25-basis-point deposit facility hike to 2.25% at the June 11 meeting. The move aligns with the central bank’s mandate to anchor medium-term expectations amid second-round risks, following the April hold at 2.00%. While the consensus appears firm, a sharper-than-expected moderation in energy costs or weaker growth data could still prompt reconsideration, though such outcomes appear limited given current pricing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateECB Interest Rates: June 2026
ECB Interest Rates: June 2026
25 bps Increase 99.4%
No change <1%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$831,386 Vol.
$831,386 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
1%
25 bps Increase
99%
50+ bps increase
<1%
25 bps Increase 99.4%
No change <1%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$831,386 Vol.
$831,386 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$111,059 Vol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$126,190 Vol.
<1%
No change
$185,203 Vol.
1%
25 bps Increase
$187,191 Vol.
99%
50+ bps increase
$231,664 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.2% in May, its highest level since September 2023, propelled by energy price surges tied to the Iran conflict and broader Middle East tensions. This development, alongside resilient services prices, has shifted ECB communications toward tighter policy, with futures markets and economist surveys now assigning near-certainty to a 25-basis-point deposit facility hike to 2.25% at the June 11 meeting. The move aligns with the central bank’s mandate to anchor medium-term expectations amid second-round risks, following the April hold at 2.00%. While the consensus appears firm, a sharper-than-expected moderation in energy costs or weaker growth data could still prompt reconsideration, though such outcomes appear limited given current pricing.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$831,386Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.2% in May, its highest level since September 2023, propelled by energy price surges tied to the Iran conflict and broader Middle East tensions. This development, alongside resilient services prices, has shifted ECB communications toward tighter policy, with futures markets and economist surveys now assigning near-certainty to a 25-basis-point deposit facility hike to 2.25% at the June 11 meeting. The move aligns with the central bank’s mandate to anchor medium-term expectations amid second-round risks, following the April hold at 2.00%. While the consensus appears firm, a sharper-than-expected moderation in energy costs or weaker growth data could still prompt reconsideration, though such outcomes appear limited given current pricing.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Volume
$831,386Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.2% in May, its highest level since September 2023, propelled by energy price surges tied to the Iran conflict and broader Middle East tensions. This development, alongside resilient services prices, has shifted ECB communications toward tighter policy, with futures markets and economist surveys now assigning near-certainty to a 25-basis-point deposit facility hike to 2.25% at the June 11 meeting. The move aligns with the central bank’s mandate to anchor medium-term expectations amid second-round risks, following the April hold at 2.00%. While the consensus appears firm, a sharper-than-expected moderation in energy costs or weaker growth data could still prompt reconsideration, though such outcomes appear limited given current pricing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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