Trader consensus slightly favors the European playoff winner—now confirmed as Turkey at 40.5%—over host USA (38%) to top Group D, reflecting Turkey's momentum from their 1-0 playoff victories over Romania and Kosovo on March 26 and 31, ending a 24-year World Cup absence under coach Vincenzo Montella. USA's home advantage across three matches, including a pivotal June 25 finale versus Turkey at SoFi Stadium, combined with a superior FIFA ranking (16th vs. Turkey's 22nd) and favorable recent head-to-heads (2-1 friendly wins), keeps the race tight. Paraguay (17.5%) impressed in CONMEBOL qualifying but lags in rankings (41st), while Australia (7%) trails as the lowest-ranked at 27th, emphasizing the top-two battle's competitiveness amid strong group-stage advancement incentives.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKOS/ROU/SVK/TUR 41%
USA 38%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 7.1%
$28,553 Vol.
$28,553 Vol.
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR
41%
USA
38%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
7%
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR 41%
USA 38%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 7.1%
$28,553 Vol.
$28,553 Vol.
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR
41%
USA
38%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
7%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus slightly favors the European playoff winner—now confirmed as Turkey at 40.5%—over host USA (38%) to top Group D, reflecting Turkey's momentum from their 1-0 playoff victories over Romania and Kosovo on March 26 and 31, ending a 24-year World Cup absence under coach Vincenzo Montella. USA's home advantage across three matches, including a pivotal June 25 finale versus Turkey at SoFi Stadium, combined with a superior FIFA ranking (16th vs. Turkey's 22nd) and favorable recent head-to-heads (2-1 friendly wins), keeps the race tight. Paraguay (17.5%) impressed in CONMEBOL qualifying but lags in rankings (41st), while Australia (7%) trails as the lowest-ranked at 27th, emphasizing the top-two battle's competitiveness amid strong group-stage advancement incentives.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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