Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers show Amsterdam's July 31 maximum most likely reaching 23–24 °C under a mix of broken cloud and light northerly flow, keeping daytime heating modest despite peak summer insolation. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while North Sea sea-surface temperatures near climatological norms limit extreme warmth. Traders therefore cluster probability on the narrow 23–24 °C band, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the resolution criteria that record the official KNMI daily maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 31?
24°C 23%
23°C 22%
22°C 17%
25°C 17%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
12%
22°C
17%
23°C
22%
24°C
23%
25°C
17%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 23%
23°C 22%
22°C 17%
25°C 17%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
12%
22°C
17%
23°C
22%
24°C
23%
25°C
17%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers show Amsterdam's July 31 maximum most likely reaching 23–24 °C under a mix of broken cloud and light northerly flow, keeping daytime heating modest despite peak summer insolation. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while North Sea sea-surface temperatures near climatological norms limit extreme warmth. Traders therefore cluster probability on the narrow 23–24 °C band, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the resolution criteria that record the official KNMI daily maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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