Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a brief cooling influence from increased cloud cover and lighter northeasterly flow over central Anatolia, positioning Ankara’s July 6 daytime maximum near 26–28 °C and driving the market’s tight clustering around the 25–27 °C outcomes. This setup deviates from the region’s July climatological average of roughly 30–32 °C under typical high-pressure dominance. Forecast uncertainty remains notable two days ahead, with model runs showing modest spread in timing of any clearing or warming; official Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and subsequent ensemble revisions through July 5 will likely refine probabilities further. Traders are weighting these near-term synoptic signals heavily given the short resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Ankara on July 6?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$67,723 Vol.
$67,723 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$67,723 Vol.
$67,723 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a brief cooling influence from increased cloud cover and lighter northeasterly flow over central Anatolia, positioning Ankara’s July 6 daytime maximum near 26–28 °C and driving the market’s tight clustering around the 25–27 °C outcomes. This setup deviates from the region’s July climatological average of roughly 30–32 °C under typical high-pressure dominance. Forecast uncertainty remains notable two days ahead, with model runs showing modest spread in timing of any clearing or warming; official Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and subsequent ensemble revisions through July 5 will likely refine probabilities further. Traders are weighting these near-term synoptic signals heavily given the short resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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