Short-term weather models indicate Cape Town maximum temperatures near 18–19°C on July 12, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 19°C and 20°C. In Southern Hemisphere winter, the region’s Mediterranean climate features cool Benguela Current influence and frequent high-pressure ridging that limits daytime heating; recent forecasts show mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light south-easterly winds allowing modest warming above the July average of 17°C. Key variables differentiating the top outcomes include exact timing of any Atlantic trough, cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and localized wind patterns that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will clarify these factors ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Cape Town on July 12?
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$46,631 Vol.
$46,631 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$46,631 Vol.
$46,631 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 10, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Short-term weather models indicate Cape Town maximum temperatures near 18–19°C on July 12, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 19°C and 20°C. In Southern Hemisphere winter, the region’s Mediterranean climate features cool Benguela Current influence and frequent high-pressure ridging that limits daytime heating; recent forecasts show mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light south-easterly winds allowing modest warming above the July average of 17°C. Key variables differentiating the top outcomes include exact timing of any Atlantic trough, cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and localized wind patterns that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated runs from the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will clarify these factors ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong