Latest numerical weather models project a daily maximum of 25–26°C in Chengdu on September 22 under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of light showers or drizzle. High humidity, light winds, and reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin are limiting daytime heating, keeping values close to the late-September climatological average of around 25°C. Recent forecast updates show only modest spread across ensembles, with precipitation timing and coverage as the main variables that could shift the peak by 1°C in either direction. This tight distribution of outcomes underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities centered on 24–26°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 22?
28°C 37%
26°C 25%
25°C 24%
27°C 24%
22°C or below
18%
23°C
16%
24°C
24%
25°C
29%
26°C
25%
27°C
24%
28°C
37%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 37%
26°C 25%
25°C 24%
27°C 24%
22°C or below
18%
23°C
16%
24°C
24%
25°C
29%
26°C
25%
27°C
24%
28°C
37%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models project a daily maximum of 25–26°C in Chengdu on September 22 under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of light showers or drizzle. High humidity, light winds, and reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin are limiting daytime heating, keeping values close to the late-September climatological average of around 25°C. Recent forecast updates show only modest spread across ensembles, with precipitation timing and coverage as the main variables that could shift the peak by 1°C in either direction. This tight distribution of outcomes underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities centered on 24–26°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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