Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high in the mid-70s for Chicago on August 3, driven by persistent northerly flow behind recent showers that has suppressed temperatures well below the 83.8°F climatological normal. Limited afternoon mixing and possible partial clearing introduce modest uncertainty around peak readings, keeping the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins closely matched as traders weigh guidance spreads. Historical analogs from similar post-frontal setups in early August show highs rarely exceeding 82°F under these conditions, reinforcing the market’s tight clustering around the upper 70s while highlighting sensitivity to any last-minute model shifts before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chicago on August 3?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 3?
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 37%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 3, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 37%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 3, 2026
69°F or below
$347 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$318 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$148 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$456 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$307 Vol.
13%
78-79°F
$1,232 Vol.
41%
80-81°F
$1,126 Vol.
37%
82-83°F
$577 Vol.
10%
84-85°F
$347 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$162 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$455 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high in the mid-70s for Chicago on August 3, driven by persistent northerly flow behind recent showers that has suppressed temperatures well below the 83.8°F climatological normal. Limited afternoon mixing and possible partial clearing introduce modest uncertainty around peak readings, keeping the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins closely matched as traders weigh guidance spreads. Historical analogs from similar post-frontal setups in early August show highs rarely exceeding 82°F under these conditions, reinforcing the market’s tight clustering around the upper 70s while highlighting sensitivity to any last-minute model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$5,474Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high in the mid-70s for Chicago on August 3, driven by persistent northerly flow behind recent showers that has suppressed temperatures well below the 83.8°F climatological normal. Limited afternoon mixing and possible partial clearing introduce modest uncertainty around peak readings, keeping the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins closely matched as traders weigh guidance spreads. Historical analogs from similar post-frontal setups in early August show highs rarely exceeding 82°F under these conditions, reinforcing the market’s tight clustering around the upper 70s while highlighting sensitivity to any last-minute model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,474Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high in the mid-70s for Chicago on August 3, driven by persistent northerly flow behind recent showers that has suppressed temperatures well below the 83.8°F climatological normal. Limited afternoon mixing and possible partial clearing introduce modest uncertainty around peak readings, keeping the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins closely matched as traders weigh guidance spreads. Historical analogs from similar post-frontal setups in early August show highs rarely exceeding 82°F under these conditions, reinforcing the market’s tight clustering around the upper 70s while highlighting sensitivity to any last-minute model shifts before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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