A strengthening heat dome and upper-level ridge over Texas are driving the market's 54.5% implied probability on a 96-97°F high for Houston on July 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance place the expected maximum in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly sunny skies, consistent with July climatology at Bush Intercontinental where the normal high is 95°F. Limited moisture and light winds should allow full daytime heating without significant cloud cover or seabreeze moderation, while overnight lows near 76-78°F maintain elevated heat indices. Short-term model consensus shows little day-to-day variability through the period, keeping the 94-99°F range dominant in trader pricing ahead of the final NWS forecast update.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Houston on July 20?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 20?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$34,659 Vol.
$34,659 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$34,659 Vol.
$34,659 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
83°F or below
$403 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$305 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$305 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$554 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$4,198 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$2,870 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$10,114 Vol.
Yes
96-97°F
$5,858 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$4,362 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$2,647 Vol.
No
102°F or higher
$3,042 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening heat dome and upper-level ridge over Texas are driving the market's 54.5% implied probability on a 96-97°F high for Houston on July 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance place the expected maximum in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly sunny skies, consistent with July climatology at Bush Intercontinental where the normal high is 95°F. Limited moisture and light winds should allow full daytime heating without significant cloud cover or seabreeze moderation, while overnight lows near 76-78°F maintain elevated heat indices. Short-term model consensus shows little day-to-day variability through the period, keeping the 94-99°F range dominant in trader pricing ahead of the final NWS forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$34,659Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening heat dome and upper-level ridge over Texas are driving the market's 54.5% implied probability on a 96-97°F high for Houston on July 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance place the expected maximum in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly sunny skies, consistent with July climatology at Bush Intercontinental where the normal high is 95°F. Limited moisture and light winds should allow full daytime heating without significant cloud cover or seabreeze moderation, while overnight lows near 76-78°F maintain elevated heat indices. Short-term model consensus shows little day-to-day variability through the period, keeping the 94-99°F range dominant in trader pricing ahead of the final NWS forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,659Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
A strengthening heat dome and upper-level ridge over Texas are driving the market's 54.5% implied probability on a 96-97°F high for Houston on July 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance place the expected maximum in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly sunny skies, consistent with July climatology at Bush Intercontinental where the normal high is 95°F. Limited moisture and light winds should allow full daytime heating without significant cloud cover or seabreeze moderation, while overnight lows near 76-78°F maintain elevated heat indices. Short-term model consensus shows little day-to-day variability through the period, keeping the 94-99°F range dominant in trader pricing ahead of the final NWS forecast update.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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