Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations from the Karachi Airport observatory confirm the highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 32°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concludes without higher readings. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from PMD and global sources projecting peaks of 31–33°C amid moderating influences like persistent sea breezes and increasing cloud cover from an approaching upper-air system bringing rain risks through April 19. Early April's record rainfall had suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of around 33°C, with a brief high-pressure ridge enabling recent warming but not exceeding this cap. Realistic challenges would require a late PMD data revision or unverified higher reading from the Masroor Airbase station, though official protocols make this unlikely.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Karachi on April 16?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$20,578 Vol.
$20,578 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$20,578 Vol.
$20,578 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 14, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations from the Karachi Airport observatory confirm the highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 32°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concludes without higher readings. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from PMD and global sources projecting peaks of 31–33°C amid moderating influences like persistent sea breezes and increasing cloud cover from an approaching upper-air system bringing rain risks through April 19. Early April's record rainfall had suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of around 33°C, with a brief high-pressure ridge enabling recent warming but not exceeding this cap. Realistic challenges would require a late PMD data revision or unverified higher reading from the Masroor Airbase station, though official protocols make this unlikely.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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