Trader consensus for the Los Angeles coastal observing site centers on an 80–81°F maximum at 43% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service point forecasts and model consensus for August 21 that align with mid-August climatological norms of 77–80°F. Persistent marine layer influence and a strengthening afternoon sea breeze are limiting inland heat advection and peak warming, which explains the secondary weighting on 78–79°F while capping combined odds for 82°F or higher near 16%. Recent observations through August 19–20, showing daily maxima in the upper 70s to low 80s, reinforce this range ahead of the next model update and hourly data releases that will refine the final recorded high.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 21?
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 12%
76-77°F 11%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
46%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 12%
76-77°F 11%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
46%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for the Los Angeles coastal observing site centers on an 80–81°F maximum at 43% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service point forecasts and model consensus for August 21 that align with mid-August climatological norms of 77–80°F. Persistent marine layer influence and a strengthening afternoon sea breeze are limiting inland heat advection and peak warming, which explains the secondary weighting on 78–79°F while capping combined odds for 82°F or higher near 16%. Recent observations through August 19–20, showing daily maxima in the upper 70s to low 80s, reinforce this range ahead of the next model update and hourly data releases that will refine the final recorded high.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong