Recent model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF places Madrid’s July 8 maximum near 39–40 °C amid a persistent heat dome over central Spain, with limited cloud cover and weak winds favoring daytime heating. The 2026 summer’s record warmth—1.6 °C above average through June—has sustained elevated baseline temperatures, while ensemble spreads of roughly ±1–2 °C keep 39 °C and 40 °C brackets nearly even in trader pricing. Official warnings highlight the 38–41 °C window as most probable, with slight upside risk if subsidence strengthens further before the July 8 verification window closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on July 8?
Highest temperature in Madrid on July 8?
39°C 100.0%
36°C or below <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$129,322 Vol.
$129,322 Vol.
Jul 8, 2026
36°C or below
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
36°C or below <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$129,322 Vol.
$129,322 Vol.
Jul 8, 2026
36°C or below
$4,506 Vol.
No
37°C
$6,333 Vol.
No
38°C
$34,328 Vol.
No
39°C
$23,938 Vol.
Yes
40°C
$35,977 Vol.
No
41°C
$9,943 Vol.
No
42°C
$5,434 Vol.
No
43°C
$3,008 Vol.
No
44°C
$1,747 Vol.
No
45°C
$2,017 Vol.
No
46°C or higher
$2,090 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF places Madrid’s July 8 maximum near 39–40 °C amid a persistent heat dome over central Spain, with limited cloud cover and weak winds favoring daytime heating. The 2026 summer’s record warmth—1.6 °C above average through June—has sustained elevated baseline temperatures, while ensemble spreads of roughly ±1–2 °C keep 39 °C and 40 °C brackets nearly even in trader pricing. Official warnings highlight the 38–41 °C window as most probable, with slight upside risk if subsidence strengthens further before the July 8 verification window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$129,322Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF places Madrid’s July 8 maximum near 39–40 °C amid a persistent heat dome over central Spain, with limited cloud cover and weak winds favoring daytime heating. The 2026 summer’s record warmth—1.6 °C above average through June—has sustained elevated baseline temperatures, while ensemble spreads of roughly ±1–2 °C keep 39 °C and 40 °C brackets nearly even in trader pricing. Official warnings highlight the 38–41 °C window as most probable, with slight upside risk if subsidence strengthens further before the July 8 verification window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$129,322Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Recent model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF places Madrid’s July 8 maximum near 39–40 °C amid a persistent heat dome over central Spain, with limited cloud cover and weak winds favoring daytime heating. The 2026 summer’s record warmth—1.6 °C above average through June—has sustained elevated baseline temperatures, while ensemble spreads of roughly ±1–2 °C keep 39 °C and 40 °C brackets nearly even in trader pricing. Official warnings highlight the 38–41 °C window as most probable, with slight upside risk if subsidence strengthens further before the July 8 verification window closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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