AEMET, Spain’s national meteorological agency, has issued consistent forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 33°C in Madrid on June 7 under stable anticyclonic conditions and typical early-summer insolation. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and local observations align closely with this value, placing it at the upper end of the climatological range for the date without entering heat-wave thresholds. The near-certain market pricing on 33°C reflects this convergence of official data and real-time station measurements at Retiro. A late-afternoon convective cell or unexpected increase in cloud cover could cap the peak one degree lower, while any last-minute model shift toward greater warming would be required to push readings to 34°C or above.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on June 7?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$79,809 Vol.
$79,809 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$79,809 Vol.
$79,809 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
AEMET, Spain’s national meteorological agency, has issued consistent forecasts projecting a daily maximum of 33°C in Madrid on June 7 under stable anticyclonic conditions and typical early-summer insolation. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and local observations align closely with this value, placing it at the upper end of the climatological range for the date without entering heat-wave thresholds. The near-certain market pricing on 33°C reflects this convergence of official data and real-time station measurements at Retiro. A late-afternoon convective cell or unexpected increase in cloud cover could cap the peak one degree lower, while any last-minute model shift toward greater warming would be required to push readings to 34°C or above.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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