Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Mexico City on August 25 most likely between 20–22°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 22–23°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms tied to the ongoing rainy season are suppressing daytime heating below August climatological averages of 24–26°C. Light winds and widespread moisture from regional convection further limit radiative warming, keeping afternoon maxima moderated. Updated model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these values ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
23°C 38%
22°C 24%
24°C 22%
21°C 12%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
12%
22°C
24%
23°C
38%
24°C
22%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
5%
23°C 38%
22°C 24%
24°C 22%
21°C 12%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
12%
22°C
24%
23°C
38%
24°C
22%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Mexico City on August 25 most likely between 20–22°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 22–23°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms tied to the ongoing rainy season are suppressing daytime heating below August climatological averages of 24–26°C. Light winds and widespread moisture from regional convection further limit radiative warming, keeping afternoon maxima moderated. Updated model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these values ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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