Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position Milan's August 22 daytime high near 28–30 °C, driving the tight market split between 28 °C (35 %) and 29 °C (34 %). Thunderstorms and increased cloud cover expected through August 21 are limiting daytime heating in the Po Valley, while light winds and moderate humidity moderate the peak. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 28–30 °C, with 30 °C or higher (11.5 % implied) requiring clearer skies or stronger subsidence than current guidance indicates. Minor differences among ECMWF and GFS runs hinge on exact shower timing and boundary-layer mixing; updated short-range model outputs and Italian Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Milan on August 22?
28°C 35%
29°C 34%
27°C 15%
30°C or higher 12%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
10%
27°C
12%
28°C
35%
29°C
34%
30°C or higher
12%
28°C 35%
29°C 34%
27°C 15%
30°C or higher 12%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
10%
27°C
12%
28°C
35%
29°C
34%
30°C or higher
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position Milan's August 22 daytime high near 28–30 °C, driving the tight market split between 28 °C (35 %) and 29 °C (34 %). Thunderstorms and increased cloud cover expected through August 21 are limiting daytime heating in the Po Valley, while light winds and moderate humidity moderate the peak. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 28–30 °C, with 30 °C or higher (11.5 % implied) requiring clearer skies or stronger subsidence than current guidance indicates. Minor differences among ECMWF and GFS runs hinge on exact shower timing and boundary-layer mixing; updated short-range model outputs and Italian Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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