Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major European models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on July 12 will most likely fall between 32–34 °C, driven by advection of warmer subtropical air under predominantly clear to broken cloud conditions. Subtle differences in forecast timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective development can shift the exact daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Official resolution will rely on verified readings from stations such as Milan Malpensa or Linate, consistent with historical July variability where highs average near 29–31 °C but can exceed 33 °C during warm episodes. Traders are weighting the tight spread between 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes because model ensembles show limited spread around these values ahead of final observational data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Milan on July 12?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$56,314 Vol.
$56,314 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$56,314 Vol.
$56,314 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major European models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on July 12 will most likely fall between 32–34 °C, driven by advection of warmer subtropical air under predominantly clear to broken cloud conditions. Subtle differences in forecast timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective development can shift the exact daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Official resolution will rely on verified readings from stations such as Milan Malpensa or Linate, consistent with historical July variability where highs average near 29–31 °C but can exceed 33 °C during warm episodes. Traders are weighting the tight spread between 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes because model ensembles show limited spread around these values ahead of final observational data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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