Traders assign the highest probabilities to 82–85°F highs for July 5 in New York City because official National Weather Service and model guidance show moderating temperatures after the July 4 peak heat wave. A weakening ridge and increasing moisture will support scattered showers and thunderstorms, limiting full insolation and capping afternoon maxima near 89°F with a 40% rain chance. Sea-breeze circulation off the Atlantic and partial cloud cover further suppress readings, while ensemble spreads keep the most likely outcomes clustered in the low-to-mid 80s. Higher bins above 88°F carry low odds given the expected convective cooling and timing of any frontal passage, consistent with current short-range forecast consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on July 5?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 5?
78-79°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$398,106 Vol.
$398,106 Vol.
Jul 5, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$398,106 Vol.
$398,106 Vol.
Jul 5, 2026
73°F or below
$5,932 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$3,100 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$138,459 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$50,560 Vol.
Yes
80-81°F
$42,601 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$45,200 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$42,217 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$24,949 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$18,486 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$10,420 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$16,184 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probabilities to 82–85°F highs for July 5 in New York City because official National Weather Service and model guidance show moderating temperatures after the July 4 peak heat wave. A weakening ridge and increasing moisture will support scattered showers and thunderstorms, limiting full insolation and capping afternoon maxima near 89°F with a 40% rain chance. Sea-breeze circulation off the Atlantic and partial cloud cover further suppress readings, while ensemble spreads keep the most likely outcomes clustered in the low-to-mid 80s. Higher bins above 88°F carry low odds given the expected convective cooling and timing of any frontal passage, consistent with current short-range forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$398,106Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probabilities to 82–85°F highs for July 5 in New York City because official National Weather Service and model guidance show moderating temperatures after the July 4 peak heat wave. A weakening ridge and increasing moisture will support scattered showers and thunderstorms, limiting full insolation and capping afternoon maxima near 89°F with a 40% rain chance. Sea-breeze circulation off the Atlantic and partial cloud cover further suppress readings, while ensemble spreads keep the most likely outcomes clustered in the low-to-mid 80s. Higher bins above 88°F carry low odds given the expected convective cooling and timing of any frontal passage, consistent with current short-range forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$398,106Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Traders assign the highest probabilities to 82–85°F highs for July 5 in New York City because official National Weather Service and model guidance show moderating temperatures after the July 4 peak heat wave. A weakening ridge and increasing moisture will support scattered showers and thunderstorms, limiting full insolation and capping afternoon maxima near 89°F with a 40% rain chance. Sea-breeze circulation off the Atlantic and partial cloud cover further suppress readings, while ensemble spreads keep the most likely outcomes clustered in the low-to-mid 80s. Higher bins above 88°F carry low odds given the expected convective cooling and timing of any frontal passage, consistent with current short-range forecast consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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