Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow over the Northeast on June 19, supporting maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s°F in central Manhattan. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF runs create the tight clustering around the 82–85°F bins, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and urban heat-island enhancement determining whether readings top out near 82°F or reach 85°F. Dew-point forecasts near 60°F and weak winds limit extreme heating, keeping probabilities for 90°F+ below 2 percent while still favoring outcomes above the June climatological normal of roughly 81°F. Updated model runs and the 12Z NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on June 19?
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$126,060 Vol.
$126,060 Vol.
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$126,060 Vol.
$126,060 Vol.
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow over the Northeast on June 19, supporting maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s°F in central Manhattan. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF runs create the tight clustering around the 82–85°F bins, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and urban heat-island enhancement determining whether readings top out near 82°F or reach 85°F. Dew-point forecasts near 60°F and weak winds limit extreme heating, keeping probabilities for 90°F+ below 2 percent while still favoring outcomes above the June climatological normal of roughly 81°F. Updated model runs and the 12Z NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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