Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 22, driven by confirmed observations from the official weather station at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C during midday hours. Overcast conditions and light southerly winds under weak high-pressure influence capped warming by reducing solar insolation, consistent with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and April climatological averages of 18°C highs. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon heating are improbable given sunset timing and persistent cloud cover; traders await the final daily meteorological summary for confirmation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 22?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$227,692 Vol.
$227,692 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$227,692 Vol.
$227,692 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 22, driven by confirmed observations from the official weather station at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C during midday hours. Overcast conditions and light southerly winds under weak high-pressure influence capped warming by reducing solar insolation, consistent with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and April climatological averages of 18°C highs. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, realistic challenges like unexpected clearing for late-afternoon heating are improbable given sunset timing and persistent cloud cover; traders await the final daily meteorological summary for confirmation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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