Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to daytime highs in Shenzhen of 31–34°C on July 24, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon delivering warm, moist air from the South China Sea alongside typical urban heat island effects. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with potential modulation from cloud cover, sea breezes, or brief showers that could cap or elevate peaks; historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 32–34°C, traders appear focused on the narrow range of outcomes pending final observational data and any last-model updates before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 24?
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$94,530 Vol.
$94,530 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$94,530 Vol.
$94,530 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to daytime highs in Shenzhen of 31–34°C on July 24, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon delivering warm, moist air from the South China Sea alongside typical urban heat island effects. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with potential modulation from cloud cover, sea breezes, or brief showers that could cap or elevate peaks; historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 32–34°C, traders appear focused on the narrow range of outcomes pending final observational data and any last-model updates before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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