Trader consensus on the July 8 Tokyo high centers on 27–29 °C because ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models place the most probable maximum in that narrow band, consistent with early-July climatology once the Baiu front weakens. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for summer 2026 provide a warm baseline, yet short-term variability in cloud cover, humidity, and weak frontal passages creates the observed spread across outcomes. Model runs differ modestly on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, producing the closely matched probabilities while keeping extremes below 25 °C or above 31 °C at low likelihood given current steering patterns and lack of strong high-pressure amplification.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 8?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 8?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$91,321 Vol.
$91,321 Vol.
Jul 8, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$91,321 Vol.
$91,321 Vol.
Jul 8, 2026
23°C or below
$5,633 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,188 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,990 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,890 Vol.
No
27°C
$11,794 Vol.
No
28°C
$24,537 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$8,078 Vol.
No
30°C
$10,229 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,018 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,434 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$4,532 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the July 8 Tokyo high centers on 27–29 °C because ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models place the most probable maximum in that narrow band, consistent with early-July climatology once the Baiu front weakens. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for summer 2026 provide a warm baseline, yet short-term variability in cloud cover, humidity, and weak frontal passages creates the observed spread across outcomes. Model runs differ modestly on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, producing the closely matched probabilities while keeping extremes below 25 °C or above 31 °C at low likelihood given current steering patterns and lack of strong high-pressure amplification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$91,321Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the July 8 Tokyo high centers on 27–29 °C because ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models place the most probable maximum in that narrow band, consistent with early-July climatology once the Baiu front weakens. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for summer 2026 provide a warm baseline, yet short-term variability in cloud cover, humidity, and weak frontal passages creates the observed spread across outcomes. Model runs differ modestly on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, producing the closely matched probabilities while keeping extremes below 25 °C or above 31 °C at low likelihood given current steering patterns and lack of strong high-pressure amplification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$91,321Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Trader consensus on the July 8 Tokyo high centers on 27–29 °C because ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models place the most probable maximum in that narrow band, consistent with early-July climatology once the Baiu front weakens. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for summer 2026 provide a warm baseline, yet short-term variability in cloud cover, humidity, and weak frontal passages creates the observed spread across outcomes. Model runs differ modestly on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, producing the closely matched probabilities while keeping extremes below 25 °C or above 31 °C at low likelihood given current steering patterns and lack of strong high-pressure amplification.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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