Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada currently project a high of 32°C for Toronto on July 15 under a mix of sun and cloud, anchoring the narrow lead for that outcome in market-implied odds. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with potential afternoon heating limited by variable cloud cover and a low risk of scattered showers that could suppress the daily maximum. Historical July climatology places average highs near 27–28°C, so the current setup reflects above-normal warmth driven by a ridge of high pressure. Traders weigh these factors against small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C, with new model runs and updated guidance expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Toronto on July 15?
28°C or below 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$91,498 Vol.
$91,498 Vol.
28°C or below
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
28°C or below 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$91,498 Vol.
$91,498 Vol.
28°C or below
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: Yes
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: Yes
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: Yes
Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada currently project a high of 32°C for Toronto on July 15 under a mix of sun and cloud, anchoring the narrow lead for that outcome in market-implied odds. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value, with potential afternoon heating limited by variable cloud cover and a low risk of scattered showers that could suppress the daily maximum. Historical July climatology places average highs near 27–28°C, so the current setup reflects above-normal warmth driven by a ridge of high pressure. Traders weigh these factors against small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat effects that could nudge readings to 31°C or 33°C, with new model runs and updated guidance expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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