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icon for Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
Politika·Alkalde

Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner

icon for Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
Politika·Alkalde

Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner

Bill Harvey 41%

Ryan Posselt 41%

Marti Zucco 41%

Mike Dutta 39%

Polymarket
BAGO

Bill Harvey 41%

Ryan Posselt 41%

Marti Zucco 41%

Mike Dutta 39%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Bill Harvey

Bill Harvey

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Ryan Posselt

Ryan Posselt

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Marti Zucco

Marti Zucco

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Mike Dutta

Mike Dutta

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Louise Bloomfield

Louise Bloomfield

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Harvey Lennon

Harvey Lennon

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for John Kelly

John Kelly

$0 Vol.

20%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest, following Anna Reynolds’ decision not to seek re-election and her August 2026 departure, has produced a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents under Tasmania’s single transferable vote system. Trader prices cluster tightly among leading contenders including Marti Zucco, Ryan Posselt, Bill Harvey, Mike Dutta, Louise Bloomfield and John Kelly because no candidate holds a dominant base and preferences are expected to decide the outcome. Recent attention has centered on the acting arrangements for Deputy Lord Mayor Zelinda Sherlock, questions over allowances during the transition, and the absence of fresh polling since an earlier EMRS survey that included Reynolds. With voting by post in October, minor shifts in preference flows or late endorsements could quickly separate the pack in this low-profile, multi-candidate race.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest, following Anna Reynolds’ decision not to seek re-election and her August 2026 departure, has produced a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents under Tasmania’s single transferable vote system. Trader prices cluster tightly among leading contenders including Marti Zucco, Ryan Posselt, Bill Harvey, Mike Dutta, Louise Bloomfield and John Kelly because no candidate holds a dominant base and preferences are expected to decide the outcome. Recent attention has centered on the acting arrangements for Deputy Lord Mayor Zelinda Sherlock, questions over allowances during the transition, and the absence of fresh polling since an earlier EMRS survey that included Reynolds. With voting by post in October, minor shifts in preference flows or late endorsements could quickly separate the pack in this low-profile, multi-candidate race.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Bill Harvey" sa 41%, sinusundan ng "Ryan Posselt" sa 41%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 41¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 41% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 3, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" ay "Bill Harvey" sa 41%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 41% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Ryan Posselt" sa 41%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.