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Politika·Pag - Shutdown Ng Gobyerno

Hanggang kailan magtatagal ang DHS shutdown?

Market icon
Politika·Pag - Shutdown Ng Gobyerno

Hanggang kailan magtatagal ang DHS shutdown?

Mar 14

Mar 14

Polymarket

$1,437,828 Vol.

Polymarket

$1,437,828 Vol.

70+ araw

$31,156 Vol.

89%

80+ na araw

$32,107 Vol.

67%

90+ araw

$39,266 Vol.

56%

100+ araw

$160 Vol.

29%

110+ araw

$80 Vol.

37%

120+ araw

$200 Vol.

47%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.A partial government shutdown affecting the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has persisted since February 14, 2026—now over 60 days—due to partisan disagreements in Congress over appropriations tied to Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs and Border Protection (CBP) reforms, including warrant requirements for deportations. The Senate passed a unanimous stop-gap bill on April 5 to fund most DHS operations through fiscal year-end, but the House has stalled amid whip counts and holdouts, despite President Trump's executive memorandum directing back pay for all workers and Secretary Mullin's order recalling thousands of furloughed staff. Recent House Appropriations Committee hearings on April 16 highlighted growing backlogs, cybersecurity risks, and strains on TSA and FEMA, with officials warning of disintegration; traders price in prolonged duration pending floor votes or a continuing resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,437,828
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 14, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.A partial government shutdown affecting the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has persisted since February 14, 2026—now over 60 days—due to partisan disagreements in Congress over appropriations tied to Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs and Border Protection (CBP) reforms, including warrant requirements for deportations. The Senate passed a unanimous stop-gap bill on April 5 to fund most DHS operations through fiscal year-end, but the House has stalled amid whip counts and holdouts, despite President Trump's executive memorandum directing back pay for all workers and Secretary Mullin's order recalling thousands of furloughed staff. Recent House Appropriations Committee hearings on April 16 highlighted growing backlogs, cybersecurity risks, and strains on TSA and FEMA, with officials warning of disintegration; traders price in prolonged duration pending floor votes or a continuing resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,437,828
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 14, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Hanggang kailan magtatagal ang DHS shutdown?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 18 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "3+ araw" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "5+ araw" sa 100%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Hanggang kailan magtatagal ang DHS shutdown?" ay naka-generate ng $1.4 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Feb 15, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Hanggang kailan magtatagal ang DHS shutdown?," i-browse ang 18 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Hanggang kailan magtatagal ang DHS shutdown?" ay "3+ araw" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "5+ araw" sa 100%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Hanggang kailan magtatagal ang DHS shutdown?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.