Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Likud projected to win 20–23 seats, down sharply from its current 32, while challenger parties such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar often lead or tie Likud. The governing coalition bloc consistently polls below the 61-seat majority threshold. Support has eroded amid prolonged conflicts following the October 2023 Hamas attacks, widespread unpopularity of ultra-Orthodox coalition partners over military draft exemptions, and internal Likud divisions highlighted by the contentious August 17 primaries that reinforced Netanyahu’s control of the slate. These trends have sustained trader consensus that Likud will lose seats.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update94% tsansa
$13,696 Vol.
$13,696 Vol.
Oct 26, 2026
94% tsansa
$13,696 Vol.
$13,696 Vol.
Oct 26, 2026
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Likud projected to win 20–23 seats, down sharply from its current 32, while challenger parties such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar often lead or tie Likud. The governing coalition bloc consistently polls below the 61-seat majority threshold. Support has eroded amid prolonged conflicts following the October 2023 Hamas attacks, widespread unpopularity of ultra-Orthodox coalition partners over military draft exemptions, and internal Likud divisions highlighted by the contentious August 17 primaries that reinforced Netanyahu’s control of the slate. These trends have sustained trader consensus that Likud will lose seats.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Volume
$13,696Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Likud projected to win 20–23 seats, down sharply from its current 32, while challenger parties such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar often lead or tie Likud. The governing coalition bloc consistently polls below the 61-seat majority threshold. Support has eroded amid prolonged conflicts following the October 2023 Hamas attacks, widespread unpopularity of ultra-Orthodox coalition partners over military draft exemptions, and internal Likud divisions highlighted by the contentious August 17 primaries that reinforced Netanyahu’s control of the slate. These trends have sustained trader consensus that Likud will lose seats.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$13,696Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Likud projected to win 20–23 seats, down sharply from its current 32, while challenger parties such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar often lead or tie Likud. The governing coalition bloc consistently polls below the 61-seat majority threshold. Support has eroded amid prolonged conflicts following the October 2023 Hamas attacks, widespread unpopularity of ultra-Orthodox coalition partners over military draft exemptions, and internal Likud divisions highlighted by the contentious August 17 primaries that reinforced Netanyahu’s control of the slate. These trends have sustained trader consensus that Likud will lose seats.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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