The ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza remains the central driver of this market. The warrant, upheld on appeal, obligates Rome Statute parties to detain him if he enters their territory, though enforcement has been inconsistent and the United States is not a member. Netanyahu’s planned attendance at the September 2026 UN General Assembly in New York has focused attention, with local Mayor Zohran Mamdani initially exploring an arrest but concluding the city lacks authority and urging federal action. President Trump has explicitly ruled out any U.S. arrest. Additional factors include Turkey’s separate domestic prosecution and Interpol request, Netanyahu’s ongoing Israeli corruption trials, and U.S. sanctions plus internal ICC leadership changes that have not altered the warrant’s validity. Traders weigh these jurisdictional limits, diplomatic protections, and scheduled travel against the slim possibility of enforcement outside the U.S. or Israel.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$24,779 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
<1%
December 31
7%
$24,779 Vol.
September 30
$18,525 Vol.
<1%
December 31
$6,254 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza remains the central driver of this market. The warrant, upheld on appeal, obligates Rome Statute parties to detain him if he enters their territory, though enforcement has been inconsistent and the United States is not a member. Netanyahu’s planned attendance at the September 2026 UN General Assembly in New York has focused attention, with local Mayor Zohran Mamdani initially exploring an arrest but concluding the city lacks authority and urging federal action. President Trump has explicitly ruled out any U.S. arrest. Additional factors include Turkey’s separate domestic prosecution and Interpol request, Netanyahu’s ongoing Israeli corruption trials, and U.S. sanctions plus internal ICC leadership changes that have not altered the warrant’s validity. Traders weigh these jurisdictional limits, diplomatic protections, and scheduled travel against the slim possibility of enforcement outside the U.S. or Israel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
Volume
$24,779Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza remains the central driver of this market. The warrant, upheld on appeal, obligates Rome Statute parties to detain him if he enters their territory, though enforcement has been inconsistent and the United States is not a member. Netanyahu’s planned attendance at the September 2026 UN General Assembly in New York has focused attention, with local Mayor Zohran Mamdani initially exploring an arrest but concluding the city lacks authority and urging federal action. President Trump has explicitly ruled out any U.S. arrest. Additional factors include Turkey’s separate domestic prosecution and Interpol request, Netanyahu’s ongoing Israeli corruption trials, and U.S. sanctions plus internal ICC leadership changes that have not altered the warrant’s validity. Traders weigh these jurisdictional limits, diplomatic protections, and scheduled travel against the slim possibility of enforcement outside the U.S. or Israel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,779Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza remains the central driver of this market. The warrant, upheld on appeal, obligates Rome Statute parties to detain him if he enters their territory, though enforcement has been inconsistent and the United States is not a member. Netanyahu’s planned attendance at the September 2026 UN General Assembly in New York has focused attention, with local Mayor Zohran Mamdani initially exploring an arrest but concluding the city lacks authority and urging federal action. President Trump has explicitly ruled out any U.S. arrest. Additional factors include Turkey’s separate domestic prosecution and Interpol request, Netanyahu’s ongoing Israeli corruption trials, and U.S. sanctions plus internal ICC leadership changes that have not altered the warrant’s validity. Traders weigh these jurisdictional limits, diplomatic protections, and scheduled travel against the slim possibility of enforcement outside the U.S. or Israel.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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