**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate overnight lows near 80–81°F for August 20, aligning with the market's leading 42% implied probability for that bin.** Persistent subtropical high pressure has produced mostly clear skies and light winds, promoting modest radiative cooling while the urban heat island, Atlantic moisture, and typical August dew points near 75°F limit further drops. Recent observations show minimums at or above the 78°F climatological normal, with no cold fronts or enhanced cloud cover expected to shift the range lower. Model consensus favors similar conditions through the period, though any increase in overnight convection could nudge readings toward the 78–79°F outcome (27.5% implied). Traders are weighting the current dry, stable pattern heavily against historical August variability, where lows rarely fall below 74°F.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Miami on August 20?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 20?
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 20, 2026
71°F or below
3%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
5%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 20, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
10%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
28%
80-81°F
$23 Vol.
42%
82-83°F
$28 Vol.
23%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
7%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$5 Vol.
5%
90°F or higher
$110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate overnight lows near 80–81°F for August 20, aligning with the market's leading 42% implied probability for that bin.** Persistent subtropical high pressure has produced mostly clear skies and light winds, promoting modest radiative cooling while the urban heat island, Atlantic moisture, and typical August dew points near 75°F limit further drops. Recent observations show minimums at or above the 78°F climatological normal, with no cold fronts or enhanced cloud cover expected to shift the range lower. Model consensus favors similar conditions through the period, though any increase in overnight convection could nudge readings toward the 78–79°F outcome (27.5% implied). Traders are weighting the current dry, stable pattern heavily against historical August variability, where lows rarely fall below 74°F.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$175Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate overnight lows near 80–81°F for August 20, aligning with the market's leading 42% implied probability for that bin.** Persistent subtropical high pressure has produced mostly clear skies and light winds, promoting modest radiative cooling while the urban heat island, Atlantic moisture, and typical August dew points near 75°F limit further drops. Recent observations show minimums at or above the 78°F climatological normal, with no cold fronts or enhanced cloud cover expected to shift the range lower. Model consensus favors similar conditions through the period, though any increase in overnight convection could nudge readings toward the 78–79°F outcome (27.5% implied). Traders are weighting the current dry, stable pattern heavily against historical August variability, where lows rarely fall below 74°F.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$175Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate overnight lows near 80–81°F for August 20, aligning with the market's leading 42% implied probability for that bin.** Persistent subtropical high pressure has produced mostly clear skies and light winds, promoting modest radiative cooling while the urban heat island, Atlantic moisture, and typical August dew points near 75°F limit further drops. Recent observations show minimums at or above the 78°F climatological normal, with no cold fronts or enhanced cloud cover expected to shift the range lower. Model consensus favors similar conditions through the period, though any increase in overnight convection could nudge readings toward the 78–79°F outcome (27.5% implied). Traders are weighting the current dry, stable pattern heavily against historical August variability, where lows rarely fall below 74°F.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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