Tarik Skubal leads trader consensus at 28% implied probability as the back-to-back AL Cy Young winner with a strong 2.22 ERA and 23 strikeouts over four starts for the Tigers, bolstered by preseason projections and ace pedigree. However, Cleveland Guardians rookie Parker Messick (22.5%) has surged with a 3-0 record, 1.05 ERA, and a near no-hitter into the seventh on April 16, fueling breakout hype. Los Angeles Angels righty Jose Soriano (19.1%) dominates early leaderboards at 5-0, sub-0.33 ERA across 27 innings with 39 strikeouts in his first five outings, marking the lowest four-start ERA in franchise history. This tight race reflects small-sample volatility, where hot starts challenge established favorites amid healthy rotations and full schedules ahead.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner
MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner
Parker Messick 45%
Tarik Skubal 28%
Jose Soriano 17.7%
Max Fried 13.9%
$10,875 Vol.
$10,875 Vol.
Tarik Skubal
28%
Garrett Crochet
7%
Jacob deGrom
6%
Cole Ragans
4%
Hunter Brown
25%
Max Fried
14%
Bryan Woo
11%
Logan Gilbert
8%
Kyle Bradish
4%
Joe Ryan
4%
Ranger Suarez
5%
Nathan Eovaldi
1%
Dylan Cease
10%
George Kirby
3%
Carlos Rodón
1%
Kevin Gausman
5%
MacKenzie Gore
3%
Jose Soriano
18%
Pablo Lopez
2%
Gavin Williams
1%
Bryce Miller
1%
Cam Schlittler
9%
Gerrit Cole
1%
Parker Messick
45%
Parker Messick 45%
Tarik Skubal 28%
Jose Soriano 17.7%
Max Fried 13.9%
$10,875 Vol.
$10,875 Vol.
Tarik Skubal
28%
Garrett Crochet
7%
Jacob deGrom
6%
Cole Ragans
4%
Hunter Brown
25%
Max Fried
14%
Bryan Woo
11%
Logan Gilbert
8%
Kyle Bradish
4%
Joe Ryan
4%
Ranger Suarez
5%
Nathan Eovaldi
1%
Dylan Cease
10%
George Kirby
3%
Carlos Rodón
1%
Kevin Gausman
5%
MacKenzie Gore
3%
Jose Soriano
18%
Pablo Lopez
2%
Gavin Williams
1%
Bryce Miller
1%
Cam Schlittler
9%
Gerrit Cole
1%
Parker Messick
45%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tarik Skubal leads trader consensus at 28% implied probability as the back-to-back AL Cy Young winner with a strong 2.22 ERA and 23 strikeouts over four starts for the Tigers, bolstered by preseason projections and ace pedigree. However, Cleveland Guardians rookie Parker Messick (22.5%) has surged with a 3-0 record, 1.05 ERA, and a near no-hitter into the seventh on April 16, fueling breakout hype. Los Angeles Angels righty Jose Soriano (19.1%) dominates early leaderboards at 5-0, sub-0.33 ERA across 27 innings with 39 strikeouts in his first five outings, marking the lowest four-start ERA in franchise history. This tight race reflects small-sample volatility, where hot starts challenge established favorites amid healthy rotations and full schedules ahead.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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