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Susunod na aktor ng James Bond?

Market icon

Susunod na aktor ng James Bond?

Walang napiling Bond 66%

Callum Turner 18%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 6.5%

Jacob Elordi 3.1%

Polymarket

$1,819,303 Vol.

Walang napiling Bond 66%

Callum Turner 18%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 6.5%

Jacob Elordi 3.1%

Polymarket

$1,819,303 Vol.

Walang inanunsyong susunod na James Bond? icon

Walang napiling Bond

$250,603 Vol.

66%

Inanunsyo na si Callum Turner bilang susunod na James Bond? icon

Callum Turner

$122,112 Vol.

18%

Inanunsyo ba si Aaron Taylor-Johnson bilang susunod na James Bond? icon

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$98,895 Vol.

7%

Inanunsyo ba si Jacob Elordi bilang susunod na James Bond? icon

Jacob Elordi

$236,006 Vol.

3%

Inanunsyo si Henry Cavill bilang susunod na James Bond? icon

Henry Cavill

$251,185 Vol.

2%

Inanunsyo ba si Theo James bilang susunod na James Bond? icon

Theo James

$26,961 Vol.

1%

Si Tom Hardy ba ang susunod na James Bond? icon

Tom Hardy

$75,982 Vol.

1%

Inanunsyo ba si James Norton bilang susunod na James Bond? icon

James Norton

$110,954 Vol.

<1%

Inanunsyo si Paul Mescal bilang susunod na James Bond? icon

Paul Mescal

$100,996 Vol.

<1%

Inanunsyo ba si Josh O'Connor bilang susunod na James Bond? icon

Josh O'Connor

$31,737 Vol.

<1%

Ipinahayag ba na si Jack Lowdon ang susunod na James Bond? icon

Jack Lowdon

$83,236 Vol.

<1%

Inanunsyo ba si Harris Dickinson bilang susunod na James Bond? icon

Harris Dickinson

$148,477 Vol.

<1%

Inanunsyo si Pierce Brosnan bilang susunod na James Bond? icon

Pierce Brosnan

$180,265 Vol.

<1%

Inihayag si Tom Holland bilang susunod na James Bond? icon

Tom Holland

$70,514 Vol.

<1%

Inanunsyo ba si James Collier bilang susunod na James Bond? icon

Robert James-Collier

$31,379 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 65.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM studio heads' recent urging for patience on casting announcements just days ago, amid ongoing development of Bond 26 under director Denis Villeneuve for a 2028 release. Callum Turner's 17.5% lead among contenders stems from persistent frontrunner rumors, his coy response to speculation at recent festivals, and similar positioning in rival markets like Kalshi, bolstered by his rising profile in prestige projects. Aaron Taylor-Johnson holds at 6.5% on long-standing buzz, while Jacob Elordi's 3.1% reflects fresh mentions, though the secretive process and mid-2026 casting timeline underscore high uncertainty until official word.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,819,303
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 65.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM studio heads' recent urging for patience on casting announcements just days ago, amid ongoing development of Bond 26 under director Denis Villeneuve for a 2028 release. Callum Turner's 17.5% lead among contenders stems from persistent frontrunner rumors, his coy response to speculation at recent festivals, and similar positioning in rival markets like Kalshi, bolstered by his rising profile in prestige projects. Aaron Taylor-Johnson holds at 6.5% on long-standing buzz, while Jacob Elordi's 3.1% reflects fresh mentions, though the secretive process and mid-2026 casting timeline underscore high uncertainty until official word.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,819,303
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Susunod na aktor ng James Bond?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 15 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Walang napiling Bond" sa 66%, sinusundan ng "Callum Turner" sa 18%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 66¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 66% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Susunod na aktor ng James Bond?" ay naka-generate ng $1.8 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 4, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Susunod na aktor ng James Bond?," i-browse ang 15 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Susunod na aktor ng James Bond?" ay "Walang napiling Bond" sa 66%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 66% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Callum Turner" sa 18%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Susunod na aktor ng James Bond?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.