Avengers: Doomsday holds a commanding 69.5% implied probability for the biggest 2026 opening week due to its confirmed December 18 holiday release slot, major MCU event status with Robert Downey Jr. returning alongside the Russo brothers, and crossover appeal featuring X-Men and Fantastic Four characters. Industry tracking and early teaser buzz reinforce expectations for record-breaking numbers during the prime year-end window. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 28.5% on the strength of its own franchise momentum and solid pre-release indicators, though it faces a tougher path to top the tentpole. Toy Story 5’s June 19 debut has already passed without overtaking frontrunners, while The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping (November 20) and Dune: Messiah (December 18, sharing the date with Doomsday) register minimal odds amid direct competition and more modest opening projections.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 70%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 29%
Toy Story 5 1.0%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$39,148 Vol.
$39,148 Vol.
Avengers: Doomsday
70%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
29%
Toy Story 5
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 70%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 29%
Toy Story 5 1.0%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$39,148 Vol.
$39,148 Vol.
Avengers: Doomsday
70%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
29%
Toy Story 5
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday holds a commanding 69.5% implied probability for the biggest 2026 opening week due to its confirmed December 18 holiday release slot, major MCU event status with Robert Downey Jr. returning alongside the Russo brothers, and crossover appeal featuring X-Men and Fantastic Four characters. Industry tracking and early teaser buzz reinforce expectations for record-breaking numbers during the prime year-end window. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 28.5% on the strength of its own franchise momentum and solid pre-release indicators, though it faces a tougher path to top the tentpole. Toy Story 5’s June 19 debut has already passed without overtaking frontrunners, while The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping (November 20) and Dune: Messiah (December 18, sharing the date with Doomsday) register minimal odds amid direct competition and more modest opening projections.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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