Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 66.5% implied probability thanks to its prime December 18 holiday release slot, Robert Downey Jr.'s high-profile return, and expansive MCU crossover with the Russo brothers directing. Recent first-trailer drops and industry insider polls have reinforced its status as the year's biggest event film, aligning with historical patterns for Avengers tentpoles. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 28% on the strength of Tom Holland's consistent franchise appeal and its July 31 summer positioning, though it trails in crossover hype. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah register minimal odds given their respective family-animation, franchise-prequel, and same-weekend sci-fi positioning, which historically limit opening-week ceilings compared to Marvel spectacles.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 28%
Toy Story 5 1.0%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$39,151 Vol.
$39,151 Vol.
Avengers: Doomsday
67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
28%
Toy Story 5
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 28%
Toy Story 5 1.0%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$39,151 Vol.
$39,151 Vol.
Avengers: Doomsday
67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
28%
Toy Story 5
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 66.5% implied probability thanks to its prime December 18 holiday release slot, Robert Downey Jr.'s high-profile return, and expansive MCU crossover with the Russo brothers directing. Recent first-trailer drops and industry insider polls have reinforced its status as the year's biggest event film, aligning with historical patterns for Avengers tentpoles. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 28% on the strength of Tom Holland's consistent franchise appeal and its July 31 summer positioning, though it trails in crossover hype. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah register minimal odds given their respective family-animation, franchise-prequel, and same-weekend sci-fi positioning, which historically limit opening-week ceilings compared to Marvel spectacles.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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