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icon for Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

John Malkovich 30.9%

Matt Damon 26%

Tom Cruise 18%

Andrew Scott 17%

Polymarket

$118,287 Vol.

John Malkovich 30.9%

Matt Damon 26%

Tom Cruise 18%

Andrew Scott 17%

Polymarket

$118,287 Vol.

icon for John Malkovich

John Malkovich

$9,097 Vol.

31%

icon for Matt Damon

Matt Damon

$34,252 Vol.

26%

icon for Tom Cruise

Tom Cruise

$11,489 Vol.

18%

icon for Andrew Scott

Andrew Scott

$12,230 Vol.

17%

icon for Robert Pattinson

Robert Pattinson

$4,384 Vol.

9%

icon for Sebastian Stan

Sebastian Stan

$2,770 Vol.

2%

icon for Ryan Gosling

Ryan Gosling

$4,783 Vol.

2%

icon for Jeremy Strong

Jeremy Strong

$4,044 Vol.

2%

icon for Timothée Chalamet

Timothée Chalamet

$3,698 Vol.

1%

icon for Jaafar Jackson

Jaafar Jackson

$4,217 Vol.

1%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$4,577 Vol.

1%

icon for Pedro Pascal

Pedro Pascal

$3,081 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Driver

Adam Driver

$2,378 Vol.

<1%

icon for Brad Pitt

Brad Pitt

$8,117 Vol.

<1%

icon for Javier Bardem

Javier Bardem

$2,910 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Aramayo

Robert Aramayo

$3,125 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Turturro

John Turturro

$1,592 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$1,542 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-September 2026, the Oscars 2027 Best Actor market remains wide open with no clear frontrunner, as traders price in high uncertainty across a broad field of contenders. John Malkovich holds the highest implied probability at 31 percent, ahead of Matt Damon at 25.5 percent, while Tom Cruise and Andrew Scott sit near 17 percent each, reflecting bets on established names and possible late-career or comeback stories. Lower odds for actors such as Robert Pattinson, Sebastian Stan, and Ryan Gosling underscore how little decisive data—such as festival premieres, guild nominations, or precursor wins—has emerged this early in the cycle for 2026 releases. Momentum will likely shift once critical reception and awards-season campaigns clarify voter preferences.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$118,287
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 14, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-September 2026, the Oscars 2027 Best Actor market remains wide open with no clear frontrunner, as traders price in high uncertainty across a broad field of contenders. John Malkovich holds the highest implied probability at 31 percent, ahead of Matt Damon at 25.5 percent, while Tom Cruise and Andrew Scott sit near 17 percent each, reflecting bets on established names and possible late-career or comeback stories. Lower odds for actors such as Robert Pattinson, Sebastian Stan, and Ryan Gosling underscore how little decisive data—such as festival premieres, guild nominations, or precursor wins—has emerged this early in the cycle for 2026 releases. Momentum will likely shift once critical reception and awards-season campaigns clarify voter preferences.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$118,287
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 14, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

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Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 18 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "John Malkovich" sa 31%, sinusundan ng "Matt Damon" sa 26%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 31¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 31% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner" ay naka-generate ng $118.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 28, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner," i-browse ang 18 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner" ay "John Malkovich" sa 31%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 31% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Matt Damon" sa 26%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.