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Politika·Mga Gantimpala

Nagwagi ng Gantimpalang Nobel Kapayapaan 2026

icon for Nagwagi ng Gantimpalang Nobel Kapayapaan 2026
Politika·Mga Gantimpala

Nagwagi ng Gantimpalang Nobel Kapayapaan 2026

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 17.9%

Save the Children 11.6%

Yulia Navalnaya 8%

UNRWA 6.0%

Polymarket

$24,296,598 Vol.

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 17.9%

Save the Children 11.6%

Yulia Navalnaya 8%

UNRWA 6.0%

Polymarket

$24,296,598 Vol.

icon for Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$20,888 Vol.

18%

icon for Save the Children

Save the Children

$8,887 Vol.

12%

icon for Yulia Navalnaya

Yulia Navalnaya

$299,387 Vol.

8%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$2,054,434 Vol.

6%

icon for Committee to Protect Journalists

Committee to Protect Journalists

$6,322 Vol.

7%

icon for International Court of Justice

International Court of Justice

$916,199 Vol.

5%

icon for Chow Hang-tung

Chow Hang-tung

$11,816 Vol.

4%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$4,887,148 Vol.

2%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$790,744 Vol.

2%

icon for Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$825,138 Vol.

2%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$688,790 Vol.

1%

icon for Greta Thunberg

Greta Thunberg

$1,474,229 Vol.

1%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,274,691 Vol.

1%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$642,162 Vol.

1%

icon for World Central Kitchen

World Central Kitchen

$3,314 Vol.

1%

icon for Reporters Without Borders

Reporters Without Borders

$3,299 Vol.

1%

icon for Pope Leo XIV

Pope Leo XIV

$823,258 Vol.

1%

icon for Sara Al-Saqqa

Sara Al-Saqqa

$3,762 Vol.

1%

icon for ICRC

ICRC

$3,490 Vol.

1%

icon for Julian Assange

Julian Assange

$857,345 Vol.

1%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,436,362 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

$2,839 Vol.

<1%

icon for UNHCR

UNHCR

$3,744 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hussam Abu Safiya

Hussam Abu Safiya

$4,375 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$1,197,516 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Putin

Vladimir Putin

$922,547 Vol.

<1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$880,837 Vol.

<1%

icon for Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

$711,664 Vol.

<1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$1,067,970 Vol.

<1%

icon for Charlie Kirk

Charlie Kirk

$1,280,282 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,193,158 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize reflects a fragmented field favoring humanitarian organizations amid ongoing global conflicts, with Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms holding the top implied probability at 15.8% due to their grassroots aid networks delivering food, water, and medical support during the civil war. Save the Children follows at 11.6%, while figures like Yulia Navalnaya and institutional players such as the Committee to Protect Journalists trail further back. Recent precursor recognition, including the Rafto and Chatham House prizes for the ERRs, has strengthened their position, though the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s preference for multilateral or under-the-radar efforts keeps the market competitive. With the October 9 announcement just weeks away, late shifts in public attention to conflict zones or new nominations could still reshape sentiment before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$24,296,598
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 10, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize reflects a fragmented field favoring humanitarian organizations amid ongoing global conflicts, with Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms holding the top implied probability at 15.8% due to their grassroots aid networks delivering food, water, and medical support during the civil war. Save the Children follows at 11.6%, while figures like Yulia Navalnaya and institutional players such as the Committee to Protect Journalists trail further back. Recent precursor recognition, including the Rafto and Chatham House prizes for the ERRs, has strengthened their position, though the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s preference for multilateral or under-the-radar efforts keeps the market competitive. With the October 9 announcement just weeks away, late shifts in public attention to conflict zones or new nominations could still reshape sentiment before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$24,296,598
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 10, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Kaugnay

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50%
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Hyperliquid Up or Down

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48%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Nagwagi ng Gantimpalang Nobel Kapayapaan 2026" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 31 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms" sa 18%, sinusundan ng "Save the Children" sa 12%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 18¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 18% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Nagwagi ng Gantimpalang Nobel Kapayapaan 2026" ay naka-generate ng $24.3 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Oct 16, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Nagwagi ng Gantimpalang Nobel Kapayapaan 2026," i-browse ang 31 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Nagwagi ng Gantimpalang Nobel Kapayapaan 2026" ay "Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms" sa 18%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 18% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Save the Children" sa 12%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Nagwagi ng Gantimpalang Nobel Kapayapaan 2026" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.