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Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

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Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Brian Poindexter 89%

Ed FitzGerald 6.8%

Laura Rodriguez-Carbone 5.5%

Scott Schulz 3.7%

Polymarket
BAGO

Brian Poindexter 89%

Ed FitzGerald 6.8%

Laura Rodriguez-Carbone 5.5%

Scott Schulz 3.7%

Polymarket
BAGO

Brian Poindexter

$756 Vol.

89%

Ed FitzGerald

$344 Vol.

7%

Laura Rodriguez-Carbone

$227 Vol.

6%

Scott Schulz

$671 Vol.

4%

John Butchko

$324 Vol.

2%

Keith Mundy

$177 Vol.

1%

Michael Eisner

$129 Vol.

1%

Ann Marie Donegan

$153 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Brian Poindexter at 90.5% implied probability to win the OH-07 Democratic primary on May 5, driven by his commanding fundraising edge—$73,155 cash on hand as of late March versus Ed FitzGerald's $22,331 deficit despite higher receipts—and high-profile endorsements from Senator Bernie Sanders (March 26), Our Revolution, Ohio AFL-CIO, United Autoworkers, and Ironworkers International. In this crowded eight-candidate field, Poindexter's union ironworker background and Brook Park City Council experience resonate with working-class voters, bolstered by recent labor nods amid early voting underway post-April 6 registration deadline. Realistic challenges include a late FitzGerald surge via name recognition from prior county executive run, field consolidation behind a rival, or unforeseen scandal, though barriers remain high given resource gaps.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,781
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 13, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Brian Poindexter at 90.5% implied probability to win the OH-07 Democratic primary on May 5, driven by his commanding fundraising edge—$73,155 cash on hand as of late March versus Ed FitzGerald's $22,331 deficit despite higher receipts—and high-profile endorsements from Senator Bernie Sanders (March 26), Our Revolution, Ohio AFL-CIO, United Autoworkers, and Ironworkers International. In this crowded eight-candidate field, Poindexter's union ironworker background and Brook Park City Council experience resonate with working-class voters, bolstered by recent labor nods amid early voting underway post-April 6 registration deadline. Realistic challenges include a late FitzGerald surge via name recognition from prior county executive run, field consolidation behind a rival, or unforeseen scandal, though barriers remain high given resource gaps.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,781
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 13, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 8 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Brian Poindexter" sa 89%, sinusundan ng "Ed FitzGerald" sa 7%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 89¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 89% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Apr 13, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 8 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Brian Poindexter" sa 89%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 89% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Ed FitzGerald" sa 7%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.