Perplexity’s CEO Aravind Srinivas explicitly stated in March 2025 that the company has no plans to IPO before 2028, directly supporting the leading 39.5% market-implied probability on that outcome. The AI search startup has instead secured multiple large private rounds, most recently closing a $200 million Series E at a $20 billion valuation in September 2025, providing ample runway without public-market pressure. Revenue has scaled rapidly through its conversational search platform powered by large language models, reaching hundreds of millions in annualized run rate by early 2026 while remaining privately held. Traders appear to view the absence of any IPO filing, regulatory signals, or competitive urgency to list as the dominant near-term factor, with smaller probabilities assigned to later valuations reflecting typical AI company timelines and execution risks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updatePerplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before 2028 39%
75B–100B 10.8%
<20B 6.0%
20B–30B 6.0%
$142,731 Vol.
$142,731 Vol.
<20B
6%
20B–30B
6%
30B–40B
6%
40B–50B
5%
50B–75B
6%
75B–100B
11%
100B+
6%
No IPO before 2028
39%
No IPO before 2028 39%
75B–100B 10.8%
<20B 6.0%
20B–30B 6.0%
$142,731 Vol.
$142,731 Vol.
<20B
6%
20B–30B
6%
30B–40B
6%
40B–50B
5%
50B–75B
6%
75B–100B
11%
100B+
6%
No IPO before 2028
39%
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Perplexity’s CEO Aravind Srinivas explicitly stated in March 2025 that the company has no plans to IPO before 2028, directly supporting the leading 39.5% market-implied probability on that outcome. The AI search startup has instead secured multiple large private rounds, most recently closing a $200 million Series E at a $20 billion valuation in September 2025, providing ample runway without public-market pressure. Revenue has scaled rapidly through its conversational search platform powered by large language models, reaching hundreds of millions in annualized run rate by early 2026 while remaining privately held. Traders appear to view the absence of any IPO filing, regulatory signals, or competitive urgency to list as the dominant near-term factor, with smaller probabilities assigned to later valuations reflecting typical AI company timelines and execution risks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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