The Rio de Janeiro Senate race for second place remains fragmented heading into the October 2026 vote, with recent Quaest surveys showing Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a modest lead while right-leaning contenders including Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Márcio Canella (União) cluster closely behind. Trader consensus reflects this split, as overlapping voter bases across parties and limited differentiation in polling keep implied probabilities for any single second-place finisher tightly bunched. Low overall name recognition beyond the frontrunner and the absence of major endorsements or withdrawals in recent weeks have sustained the competitive field. Late campaign shifts, such as coordinated right-wing support, fresh surveys, or turnout changes among key blocs, could still reorder the standings before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMarcelo Crivella 26%
André Monteiro 26%
Luciano Mattos 26%
Marcos Dias 26%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Marcelo Crivella
26%
André Monteiro
26%
Luciano Mattos
26%
Marcos Dias
26%
Ó Clemente
26%
Benedita da Silva
14%
Monica Benicio
13%
Carlos Portinho
11%
Luiz Eugenio
11%
Pedro Paulo
11%
Vinicius Benevides
11%
Helio Secco
10%
Waguinho
9%
Michelly Xavier
8%
Carlos Jordy
6%
Paula Falcão
6%
Marcelo Crivella 26%
André Monteiro 26%
Luciano Mattos 26%
Marcos Dias 26%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Marcelo Crivella
$41 Vol.
26%
André Monteiro
$41 Vol.
26%
Luciano Mattos
$41 Vol.
26%
Marcos Dias
$41 Vol.
26%
Ó Clemente
$41 Vol.
26%
Benedita da Silva
$61 Vol.
14%
Monica Benicio
$61 Vol.
13%
Carlos Portinho
$41 Vol.
11%
Luiz Eugenio
$80 Vol.
11%
Pedro Paulo
$41 Vol.
11%
Vinicius Benevides
$41 Vol.
11%
Helio Secco
$62 Vol.
10%
Waguinho
$41 Vol.
9%
Michelly Xavier
$78 Vol.
8%
Carlos Jordy
$41 Vol.
6%
Paula Falcão
$41 Vol.
6%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio de Janeiro Senate race for second place remains fragmented heading into the October 2026 vote, with recent Quaest surveys showing Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a modest lead while right-leaning contenders including Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Márcio Canella (União) cluster closely behind. Trader consensus reflects this split, as overlapping voter bases across parties and limited differentiation in polling keep implied probabilities for any single second-place finisher tightly bunched. Low overall name recognition beyond the frontrunner and the absence of major endorsements or withdrawals in recent weeks have sustained the competitive field. Late campaign shifts, such as coordinated right-wing support, fresh surveys, or turnout changes among key blocs, could still reorder the standings before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Volume
$793Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio de Janeiro Senate race for second place remains fragmented heading into the October 2026 vote, with recent Quaest surveys showing Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a modest lead while right-leaning contenders including Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Márcio Canella (União) cluster closely behind. Trader consensus reflects this split, as overlapping voter bases across parties and limited differentiation in polling keep implied probabilities for any single second-place finisher tightly bunched. Low overall name recognition beyond the frontrunner and the absence of major endorsements or withdrawals in recent weeks have sustained the competitive field. Late campaign shifts, such as coordinated right-wing support, fresh surveys, or turnout changes among key blocs, could still reorder the standings before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$793Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio de Janeiro Senate race for second place remains fragmented heading into the October 2026 vote, with recent Quaest surveys showing Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a modest lead while right-leaning contenders including Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Márcio Canella (União) cluster closely behind. Trader consensus reflects this split, as overlapping voter bases across parties and limited differentiation in polling keep implied probabilities for any single second-place finisher tightly bunched. Low overall name recognition beyond the frontrunner and the absence of major endorsements or withdrawals in recent weeks have sustained the competitive field. Late campaign shifts, such as coordinated right-wing support, fresh surveys, or turnout changes among key blocs, could still reorder the standings before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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