The Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for the two seats remains fragmented ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing a technical tie among five leading pre-candidates and no dominant frontrunner for second place. Incumbents are not seeking re-election, opening the field to figures such as Manuela D'Ávila, Germano Rigotto, Paulo Pimenta, Marcel van Hattem, and Ubiratan Sanderson, alongside lower-polling contenders from parties including PSTU, PSD, Cidadania, and Novo. Party conventions concluded in early August, formalizing candidacies without major realignments that would consolidate support. This multi-candidate dynamic, combined with regional voter bases and modest polling margins of error, sustains the close implied probabilities for second place among several names while limiting separation until later surveys or campaign events clarify voter preferences.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMarcel Van Hattem 36%
Ric Jones 30%
Tania Peres 29%
Milton Cardoso 29%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Marcel Van Hattem
36%
Ric Jones
30%
Tania Peres
29%
Milton Cardoso
29%
Renato Jaguarão
27%
Sanderson
27%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
27%
Luciano do MLB
25%
Rigotto
25%
Manuela D'Ávila
22%
Pimenta
21%
Regis Ethur
21%
Frederico Antunes
19%
Marcel Van Hattem 36%
Ric Jones 30%
Tania Peres 29%
Milton Cardoso 29%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Marcel Van Hattem
$20 Vol.
36%
Ric Jones
$20 Vol.
30%
Tania Peres
$20 Vol.
29%
Milton Cardoso
$20 Vol.
29%
Renato Jaguarão
$20 Vol.
27%
Sanderson
$20 Vol.
27%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
$20 Vol.
27%
Luciano do MLB
$20 Vol.
25%
Rigotto
$20 Vol.
25%
Manuela D'Ávila
$20 Vol.
22%
Pimenta
$20 Vol.
21%
Regis Ethur
$20 Vol.
21%
Frederico Antunes
$20 Vol.
19%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for the two seats remains fragmented ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing a technical tie among five leading pre-candidates and no dominant frontrunner for second place. Incumbents are not seeking re-election, opening the field to figures such as Manuela D'Ávila, Germano Rigotto, Paulo Pimenta, Marcel van Hattem, and Ubiratan Sanderson, alongside lower-polling contenders from parties including PSTU, PSD, Cidadania, and Novo. Party conventions concluded in early August, formalizing candidacies without major realignments that would consolidate support. This multi-candidate dynamic, combined with regional voter bases and modest polling margins of error, sustains the close implied probabilities for second place among several names while limiting separation until later surveys or campaign events clarify voter preferences.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volume
$260Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for the two seats remains fragmented ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing a technical tie among five leading pre-candidates and no dominant frontrunner for second place. Incumbents are not seeking re-election, opening the field to figures such as Manuela D'Ávila, Germano Rigotto, Paulo Pimenta, Marcel van Hattem, and Ubiratan Sanderson, alongside lower-polling contenders from parties including PSTU, PSD, Cidadania, and Novo. Party conventions concluded in early August, formalizing candidacies without major realignments that would consolidate support. This multi-candidate dynamic, combined with regional voter bases and modest polling margins of error, sustains the close implied probabilities for second place among several names while limiting separation until later surveys or campaign events clarify voter preferences.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$260Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Sul Senate race for the two seats remains fragmented ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent Genial/Quaest polling showing a technical tie among five leading pre-candidates and no dominant frontrunner for second place. Incumbents are not seeking re-election, opening the field to figures such as Manuela D'Ávila, Germano Rigotto, Paulo Pimenta, Marcel van Hattem, and Ubiratan Sanderson, alongside lower-polling contenders from parties including PSTU, PSD, Cidadania, and Novo. Party conventions concluded in early August, formalizing candidacies without major realignments that would consolidate support. This multi-candidate dynamic, combined with regional voter bases and modest polling margins of error, sustains the close implied probabilities for second place among several names while limiting separation until later surveys or campaign events clarify voter preferences.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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