The São Paulo Senate race for the two seats up on October 4 remains highly fragmented, with multiple candidates clustered in early intention surveys and no clear frontrunner for second place. Simone Tebet (PSB) and Marina Silva have drawn support as Lula-backed moderates following their official nominations at state conventions, while Guilherme Derrite, Petter Maahs, and others from center-right and conservative slates stay competitive in a field that includes more than two dozen registered contenders. Incumbent senators largely stepped aside, opening the contest and amplifying volatility. This setup keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched near 30-50 percent across leading names, as vote splitting and turnout among key blocs could easily reorder the final ranking before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updatePetter Maahs 22%
Guilherme Derrite 18%
Marina Silva 17%
Simone Tebet 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Petter Maahs
22%
Guilherme Derrite
18%
Marina Silva
17%
Simone Tebet
14%
Weller Gonçalves
11%
Geraldo Rufino
10%
Salles
10%
André do Prado
10%
Maíra de Souza
10%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
9%
Soninha Francine
8%
Marcio Alves
8%
Ednelson Cesaretti
6%
William Teixeira
6%
Petter Maahs 22%
Guilherme Derrite 18%
Marina Silva 17%
Simone Tebet 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Petter Maahs
$38 Vol.
22%
Guilherme Derrite
$127 Vol.
18%
Marina Silva
$123 Vol.
17%
Simone Tebet
$98 Vol.
14%
Weller Gonçalves
$38 Vol.
11%
Geraldo Rufino
$56 Vol.
10%
Salles
$58 Vol.
10%
André do Prado
$78 Vol.
10%
Maíra de Souza
$49 Vol.
10%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
$58 Vol.
9%
Soninha Francine
$70 Vol.
8%
Marcio Alves
$58 Vol.
8%
Ednelson Cesaretti
$71 Vol.
6%
William Teixeira
$81 Vol.
6%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The São Paulo Senate race for the two seats up on October 4 remains highly fragmented, with multiple candidates clustered in early intention surveys and no clear frontrunner for second place. Simone Tebet (PSB) and Marina Silva have drawn support as Lula-backed moderates following their official nominations at state conventions, while Guilherme Derrite, Petter Maahs, and others from center-right and conservative slates stay competitive in a field that includes more than two dozen registered contenders. Incumbent senators largely stepped aside, opening the contest and amplifying volatility. This setup keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched near 30-50 percent across leading names, as vote splitting and turnout among key blocs could easily reorder the final ranking before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$1,006Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The São Paulo Senate race for the two seats up on October 4 remains highly fragmented, with multiple candidates clustered in early intention surveys and no clear frontrunner for second place. Simone Tebet (PSB) and Marina Silva have drawn support as Lula-backed moderates following their official nominations at state conventions, while Guilherme Derrite, Petter Maahs, and others from center-right and conservative slates stay competitive in a field that includes more than two dozen registered contenders. Incumbent senators largely stepped aside, opening the contest and amplifying volatility. This setup keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched near 30-50 percent across leading names, as vote splitting and turnout among key blocs could easily reorder the final ranking before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,006Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The São Paulo Senate race for the two seats up on October 4 remains highly fragmented, with multiple candidates clustered in early intention surveys and no clear frontrunner for second place. Simone Tebet (PSB) and Marina Silva have drawn support as Lula-backed moderates following their official nominations at state conventions, while Guilherme Derrite, Petter Maahs, and others from center-right and conservative slates stay competitive in a field that includes more than two dozen registered contenders. Incumbent senators largely stepped aside, opening the contest and amplifying volatility. This setup keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched near 30-50 percent across leading names, as vote splitting and turnout among key blocs could easily reorder the final ranking before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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