Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-related sectors, remains the dominant driver of S&P 500 sentiment, with 2026 EPS estimates revised higher to reflect roughly 20-25% year-over-year expansion. The index closed at 7,706 on September 23, 2026, near its August record of 7,799 and up about 12.6% year-to-date, supported by resilient economic data and elevated profit margins. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that these fundamentals will offset pressure from sticky inflation and potential Federal Reserve caution. Key near-term catalysts include the October 2 nonfarm payrolls report, September CPI on October 14, the October 28 FOMC decision, and Q3 earnings season, followed by the December 8-9 FOMC meeting with updated projections.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
$376,076 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $9,000
11%
↑ $8,600
10%
↑ $8,200
31%
↑ $8,000
50%
↓ $7,400
46%
↓ $7,200
35%
↓ $7,000
25%
↓ $6,200
8%
↓ $6,000
7%
↓ $5,800
7%
↓ $5,200
3%
↓ $4,500
3%
$376,076 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$446 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,300
$10,126 Vol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$138 Vol.
11%
↑ $8,600
$32,228 Vol.
10%
↑ $8,200
$23,992 Vol.
31%
↑ $8,000
$583 Vol.
50%
↓ $7,400
$81 Vol.
46%
↓ $7,200
$691 Vol.
35%
↓ $7,000
$2,450 Vol.
25%
↓ $6,200
$62,056 Vol.
8%
↓ $6,000
$4,991 Vol.
7%
↓ $5,800
$44,537 Vol.
7%
↓ $5,200
$70,900 Vol.
3%
↓ $4,500
$62,808 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-related sectors, remains the dominant driver of S&P 500 sentiment, with 2026 EPS estimates revised higher to reflect roughly 20-25% year-over-year expansion. The index closed at 7,706 on September 23, 2026, near its August record of 7,799 and up about 12.6% year-to-date, supported by resilient economic data and elevated profit margins. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that these fundamentals will offset pressure from sticky inflation and potential Federal Reserve caution. Key near-term catalysts include the October 2 nonfarm payrolls report, September CPI on October 14, the October 28 FOMC decision, and Q3 earnings season, followed by the December 8-9 FOMC meeting with updated projections.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$376,076Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-related sectors, remains the dominant driver of S&P 500 sentiment, with 2026 EPS estimates revised higher to reflect roughly 20-25% year-over-year expansion. The index closed at 7,706 on September 23, 2026, near its August record of 7,799 and up about 12.6% year-to-date, supported by resilient economic data and elevated profit margins. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that these fundamentals will offset pressure from sticky inflation and potential Federal Reserve caution. Key near-term catalysts include the October 2 nonfarm payrolls report, September CPI on October 14, the October 28 FOMC decision, and Q3 earnings season, followed by the December 8-9 FOMC meeting with updated projections.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Volume
$376,076Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070be91...Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-related sectors, remains the dominant driver of S&P 500 sentiment, with 2026 EPS estimates revised higher to reflect roughly 20-25% year-over-year expansion. The index closed at 7,706 on September 23, 2026, near its August record of 7,799 and up about 12.6% year-to-date, supported by resilient economic data and elevated profit margins. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that these fundamentals will offset pressure from sticky inflation and potential Federal Reserve caution. Key near-term catalysts include the October 2 nonfarm payrolls report, September CPI on October 14, the October 28 FOMC decision, and Q3 earnings season, followed by the December 8-9 FOMC meeting with updated projections.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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