Robust corporate earnings growth, particularly from AI-driven capital spending among technology leaders, underpins trader sentiment for the S&P 500 by year-end 2026. With the index near 7,677 after a 12-13% year-to-date advance, analysts project roughly 30% full-year EPS expansion, supporting forward P/E ratios around 20-21 times. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, including reaffirmation of the 2% PCE target amid July readings near 3.7%, have lifted market-implied odds of additional rate hikes and elevated Treasury yields. Key near-term catalysts include the August employment report and the September 16 FOMC meeting, which could clarify whether resilient growth and sticky inflation shift policy expectations enough to pressure valuations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
$330,841 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
4%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,600
11%
↑ $8,200
34%
↑ $8,000
46%
↓ $7,400
62%
↓ $7,200
70%
↓ $7,000
61%
↓ $6,200
14%
↓ $6,000
14%
↓ $5,800
9%
↓ $5,200
7%
↓ $4,500
3%
$330,841 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$103 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,300
$9,473 Vol.
4%
↑ $9,000
$68 Vol.
3%
↑ $8,600
$30,449 Vol.
11%
↑ $8,200
$23,391 Vol.
34%
↑ $8,000
$489 Vol.
46%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
62%
↓ $7,200
$0 Vol.
70%
↓ $7,000
$200 Vol.
61%
↓ $6,200
$48,193 Vol.
14%
↓ $6,000
$2,779 Vol.
14%
↓ $5,800
$41,270 Vol.
9%
↓ $5,200
$54,808 Vol.
7%
↓ $4,500
$59,566 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Robust corporate earnings growth, particularly from AI-driven capital spending among technology leaders, underpins trader sentiment for the S&P 500 by year-end 2026. With the index near 7,677 after a 12-13% year-to-date advance, analysts project roughly 30% full-year EPS expansion, supporting forward P/E ratios around 20-21 times. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, including reaffirmation of the 2% PCE target amid July readings near 3.7%, have lifted market-implied odds of additional rate hikes and elevated Treasury yields. Key near-term catalysts include the August employment report and the September 16 FOMC meeting, which could clarify whether resilient growth and sticky inflation shift policy expectations enough to pressure valuations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$330,841Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Robust corporate earnings growth, particularly from AI-driven capital spending among technology leaders, underpins trader sentiment for the S&P 500 by year-end 2026. With the index near 7,677 after a 12-13% year-to-date advance, analysts project roughly 30% full-year EPS expansion, supporting forward P/E ratios around 20-21 times. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, including reaffirmation of the 2% PCE target amid July readings near 3.7%, have lifted market-implied odds of additional rate hikes and elevated Treasury yields. Key near-term catalysts include the August employment report and the September 16 FOMC meeting, which could clarify whether resilient growth and sticky inflation shift policy expectations enough to pressure valuations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$330,841Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Robust corporate earnings growth, particularly from AI-driven capital spending among technology leaders, underpins trader sentiment for the S&P 500 by year-end 2026. With the index near 7,677 after a 12-13% year-to-date advance, analysts project roughly 30% full-year EPS expansion, supporting forward P/E ratios around 20-21 times. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, including reaffirmation of the 2% PCE target amid July readings near 3.7%, have lifted market-implied odds of additional rate hikes and elevated Treasury yields. Key near-term catalysts include the August employment report and the September 16 FOMC meeting, which could clarify whether resilient growth and sticky inflation shift policy expectations enough to pressure valuations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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