The Swiss National Bank’s September 24 assessment is expected to leave the policy rate unchanged at 0%, consistent with the 90% market-implied probability, as Switzerland’s inflation trajectory remains subdued with conditional forecasts of 0.6% for both 2026 and 2027. Recent energy-driven price increases have lifted near-term readings modestly but left medium-term pressures largely unchanged, while the Swiss franc’s resilience has further dampened imported inflation. SNB communications, including remarks from Chairman Schlegel, have reinforced a cautious stance focused on FX interventions to counter excessive franc appreciation rather than rate adjustments. Surveys of economists and Swiss bankers show near-unanimous expectations for a hold through year-end, aligning with the low single-digit probabilities assigned to 25-basis-point moves in either direction. The decision will also incorporate updates on growth, which is projected near 1% for 2026, and any shifts in global risk sentiment.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNo Change 90%
25 bps increase 3.6%
25 bps decrease 2.3%
50+ bps decrease 1.7%
50+ bps increase
2%
25 bps increase
4%
No Change
90%
25 bps decrease
2%
50+ bps decrease
2%
No Change 90%
25 bps increase 3.6%
25 bps decrease 2.3%
50+ bps decrease 1.7%
50+ bps increase
2%
25 bps increase
4%
No Change
90%
25 bps decrease
2%
50+ bps decrease
2%
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Swiss National Bank’s September 24 assessment is expected to leave the policy rate unchanged at 0%, consistent with the 90% market-implied probability, as Switzerland’s inflation trajectory remains subdued with conditional forecasts of 0.6% for both 2026 and 2027. Recent energy-driven price increases have lifted near-term readings modestly but left medium-term pressures largely unchanged, while the Swiss franc’s resilience has further dampened imported inflation. SNB communications, including remarks from Chairman Schlegel, have reinforced a cautious stance focused on FX interventions to counter excessive franc appreciation rather than rate adjustments. Surveys of economists and Swiss bankers show near-unanimous expectations for a hold through year-end, aligning with the low single-digit probabilities assigned to 25-basis-point moves in either direction. The decision will also incorporate updates on growth, which is projected near 1% for 2026, and any shifts in global risk sentiment.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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