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Politika·Senado Ng Texas

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

icon for Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
Politika·Senado Ng Texas

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

1.2–1.5M 99.8%

2.4–2.7M <1%

<0.6M <1%

0.6–0.9M <1%

Polymarket

$169,060 Vol.

1.2–1.5M 99.8%

2.4–2.7M <1%

<0.6M <1%

0.6–0.9M <1%

Polymarket

$169,060 Vol.

<0.6M

$2,626 Vol.

No

0.6–0.9M

$55,400 Vol.

No

0.9–1.2M

$5,927 Vol.

No

1.2–1.5M

$47,737 Vol.

Yes

1.5–1.8M

$8,622 Vol.

No

1.8–2.1M

$9,696 Vol.

No

2.1–2.4M

$11,181 Vol.

No

2.4–2.7M

$11,700 Vol.

No

2.7M+

$16,171 Vol.

No

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The reported turnout in the May 26 Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff between Ken Paxton and John Cornyn fell squarely in the 1.2–1.5 million range, with more than 1.3 million total ballots cast and roughly 1.39 million votes tallied statewide. This outcome reflects the typical sharp drop in participation between a primary and runoff, compounded by the high-profile but localized contest drawing about 36 percent fewer Republican voters than the March primary. Trader consensus has consolidated around these official early and final counts from state sources because they leave little room for deviation once certified. Late adjustments to provisional or overseas ballots, or disputes during final canvassing, remain the only plausible paths that could shift the total outside the leading bracket.

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$169,060
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 26, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The reported turnout in the May 26 Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff between Ken Paxton and John Cornyn fell squarely in the 1.2–1.5 million range, with more than 1.3 million total ballots cast and roughly 1.39 million votes tallied statewide. This outcome reflects the typical sharp drop in participation between a primary and runoff, compounded by the high-profile but localized contest drawing about 36 percent fewer Republican voters than the March primary. Trader consensus has consolidated around these official early and final counts from state sources because they leave little room for deviation once certified. Late adjustments to provisional or overseas ballots, or disputes during final canvassing, remain the only plausible paths that could shift the total outside the leading bracket.

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$169,060
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 26, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Kaugnay

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Oo

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "1.2–1.5M" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "<0.6M" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff" ay naka-generate ng $169.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 4, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff" ay "1.2–1.5M" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "<0.6M" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.