Recent polling shows the Liberal–National Coalition maintaining a consistent two-party preferred lead of around 54–46 over Labor ahead of the 28 November 2026 Victorian state election, reflecting an ongoing swing against the incumbent government after more than a decade in office. The July leadership transition from Jacinta Allan to Ben Carroll has not reversed Labor’s primary vote decline to the mid-20s, while Coalition primary support has edged higher under Jess Wilson. One Nation’s sustained primary vote near 23 percent introduces a competitive three-cornered dynamic that fragments the field and raises the prospect of a hung parliament, though preference flows historically favor the Coalition. Voter concerns over state debt and major infrastructure projects continue to weigh on Labor’s standing, with no major shifts in the most recent surveys.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLiberal–National 72%
Labor 22%
One Nation 9.4%
Greens <1%
$14,709 Vol.
$14,709 Vol.
Mar 31, 2027
Liberal–National
72%
Labor
22%
One Nation
9%
Greens
<1%
Liberal–National 72%
Labor 22%
One Nation 9.4%
Greens <1%
$14,709 Vol.
$14,709 Vol.
Mar 31, 2027
Liberal–National
$6,984 Vol.
72%
Labor
$3,515 Vol.
22%
One Nation
$3,600 Vol.
9%
Greens
$611 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).Recent polling shows the Liberal–National Coalition maintaining a consistent two-party preferred lead of around 54–46 over Labor ahead of the 28 November 2026 Victorian state election, reflecting an ongoing swing against the incumbent government after more than a decade in office. The July leadership transition from Jacinta Allan to Ben Carroll has not reversed Labor’s primary vote decline to the mid-20s, while Coalition primary support has edged higher under Jess Wilson. One Nation’s sustained primary vote near 23 percent introduces a competitive three-cornered dynamic that fragments the field and raises the prospect of a hung parliament, though preference flows historically favor the Coalition. Voter concerns over state debt and major infrastructure projects continue to weigh on Labor’s standing, with no major shifts in the most recent surveys.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ET
Volume
$14,709Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).Recent polling shows the Liberal–National Coalition maintaining a consistent two-party preferred lead of around 54–46 over Labor ahead of the 28 November 2026 Victorian state election, reflecting an ongoing swing against the incumbent government after more than a decade in office. The July leadership transition from Jacinta Allan to Ben Carroll has not reversed Labor’s primary vote decline to the mid-20s, while Coalition primary support has edged higher under Jess Wilson. One Nation’s sustained primary vote near 23 percent introduces a competitive three-cornered dynamic that fragments the field and raises the prospect of a hung parliament, though preference flows historically favor the Coalition. Voter concerns over state debt and major infrastructure projects continue to weigh on Labor’s standing, with no major shifts in the most recent surveys.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
Volume
$14,709Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Liberal–National Coalition maintaining a consistent two-party preferred lead of around 54–46 over Labor ahead of the 28 November 2026 Victorian state election, reflecting an ongoing swing against the incumbent government after more than a decade in office. The July leadership transition from Jacinta Allan to Ben Carroll has not reversed Labor’s primary vote decline to the mid-20s, while Coalition primary support has edged higher under Jess Wilson. One Nation’s sustained primary vote near 23 percent introduces a competitive three-cornered dynamic that fragments the field and raises the prospect of a hung parliament, though preference flows historically favor the Coalition. Voter concerns over state debt and major infrastructure projects continue to weigh on Labor’s standing, with no major shifts in the most recent surveys.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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