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Politika·DHS

Kailan matatapos ang DHS shutdown?

Market icon
Politika·DHS

Kailan matatapos ang DHS shutdown?

Apr 30

Jul 31

Apr 30

Jul 31

After April 30 79.7%

Arpil 21-24 5.8%

April 25-28 5.5%

April 29-30 5.5%

Polymarket

$954,048 Vol.

After April 30 79.7%

Arpil 21-24 5.8%

April 25-28 5.5%

April 29-30 5.5%

Polymarket

$954,048 Vol.

April 17-20

$407,376 Vol.

1%

Arpil 21-24

$50,631 Vol.

6%

April 25-28

$13,424 Vol.

6%

April 29-30

$13,987 Vol.

5%

After April 30

$160,658 Vol.

80%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) partial government shutdown, triggered by a funding lapse on February 14 amid immigration enforcement reform disputes, persists as trader consensus prices after April 30 at 79.7%, reflecting stalled negotiations over appropriations for Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs and Border Protection (CBP). The House returned from recess this week without voting on the Senate's bipartisan stop-gap bill lacking those agencies' full funding, prompting Republican leaders to pursue reconciliation—potentially delaying resolution until June. Recent budget hearings highlighted operational strains, including furloughs despite partial recalls, but no floor vote is scheduled, underscoring procedural hurdles and low near-term probabilities.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$954,048
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) partial government shutdown, triggered by a funding lapse on February 14 amid immigration enforcement reform disputes, persists as trader consensus prices after April 30 at 79.7%, reflecting stalled negotiations over appropriations for Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs and Border Protection (CBP). The House returned from recess this week without voting on the Senate's bipartisan stop-gap bill lacking those agencies' full funding, prompting Republican leaders to pursue reconciliation—potentially delaying resolution until June. Recent budget hearings highlighted operational strains, including furloughs despite partial recalls, but no floor vote is scheduled, underscoring procedural hurdles and low near-term probabilities.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$954,048
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Kailan matatapos ang DHS shutdown?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "After April 30" sa 80%, sinusundan ng "Arpil 21-24" sa 6%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 80¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 80% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Kailan matatapos ang DHS shutdown?" ay naka-generate ng $954K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 26, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Kailan matatapos ang DHS shutdown?," i-browse ang 10 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Kailan matatapos ang DHS shutdown?" ay "After April 30" sa 80%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 80% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Arpil 21-24" sa 6%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Kailan matatapos ang DHS shutdown?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.