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icon for Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

icon for Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

$34,949 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$34,949 Vol.

Polymarket

South Sudan

$2,181 Vol.

62%

Rwanda

$2,128 Vol.

28%

Burundi

$200 Vol.

28%

United States

$10,215 Vol.

25%

Canada

$1,418 Vol.

24%

Kenya

$235 Vol.

29%

India

$732 Vol.

14%

Republic of the Congo

$12,170 Vol.

22%

Nigeria

$25 Vol.

16%

Ethiopia

$107 Vol.

51%

Somalia

$71 Vol.

36%

China

$3,512 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The fast-spreading Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, already the country's deadliest on record with over 5,700 confirmed cases across six provinces as of late August 2026, anchors trader sentiment on this multi-outcome market. High population mobility along mining and trade corridors, combined with ongoing conflict and displacement, has outpaced contact tracing and containment, creating clear pathways for cross-border imports into neighbors like South Sudan and Rwanda. Uganda and France have already recorded limited imported cases, with Uganda's outbreak now declared over after its 42-day monitoring period. Traders weigh ongoing vaccination efforts and WHO PHEIC status against the virus's rapid early growth and the four-month window remaining before year-end resolution, noting that any new confirmed infection in a listed country would shift implied probabilities quickly.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$34,949
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The fast-spreading Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, already the country's deadliest on record with over 5,700 confirmed cases across six provinces as of late August 2026, anchors trader sentiment on this multi-outcome market. High population mobility along mining and trade corridors, combined with ongoing conflict and displacement, has outpaced contact tracing and containment, creating clear pathways for cross-border imports into neighbors like South Sudan and Rwanda. Uganda and France have already recorded limited imported cases, with Uganda's outbreak now declared over after its 42-day monitoring period. Traders weigh ongoing vaccination efforts and WHO PHEIC status against the virus's rapid early growth and the four-month window remaining before year-end resolution, noting that any new confirmed infection in a listed country would shift implied probabilities quickly.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$34,949
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Kaugnay

icon for Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1?

Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1?

59%
icon for New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

6%
icon for New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

4%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 13 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Uganda" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "South Sudan" sa 62%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" ay naka-generate ng $34.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong May 22, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?," i-browse ang 13 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" ay "Uganda" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "South Sudan" sa 62%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.