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Politika·Pangunahing Halalan

NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Pangunahing Halalan

NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner

Cait Conley 100.0%

Beth Davidson <1%

Effie Phillips-Staley <1%

Mike Sacks <1%

Polymarket

$242,967 Vol.

Cait Conley 100.0%

Beth Davidson <1%

Effie Phillips-Staley <1%

Mike Sacks <1%

Polymarket

$242,967 Vol.

Beth Davidson

$90,699 Vol.

No

Effie Phillips-Staley

$8,770 Vol.

No

Mike Sacks

$2,172 Vol.

No

John Cappello

$1,906 Vol.

No

Cait Conley

$130,733 Vol.

Yes

Peter Chatzky

$4,308 Vol.

No

Jessica Reinmann

$1,944 Vol.

No

John Sullivan

$2,435 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Cait Conley leads the NY-17 Democratic primary with trader consensus at 77.5 percent, driven by her profile as a West Point graduate, combat veteran, and former national security official with experience on the National Security Council and at CISA, which has drawn endorsements from county leaders and substantial outside support ahead of the June 23 vote. Beth Davidson holds 21.5 percent as the main local alternative, backed by her record as a Rockland County legislator and recent endorsements from prior candidates in the race. The contest has featured attacks on Conley's recent district residency and funding sources, alongside reported Republican-linked spending aimed at blocking her nomination, reflecting assessments of her strength against incumbent Mike Lawler. Minor candidates trail with under 2 percent combined.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$242,967
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Cait Conley leads the NY-17 Democratic primary with trader consensus at 77.5 percent, driven by her profile as a West Point graduate, combat veteran, and former national security official with experience on the National Security Council and at CISA, which has drawn endorsements from county leaders and substantial outside support ahead of the June 23 vote. Beth Davidson holds 21.5 percent as the main local alternative, backed by her record as a Rockland County legislator and recent endorsements from prior candidates in the race. The contest has featured attacks on Conley's recent district residency and funding sources, alongside reported Republican-linked spending aimed at blocking her nomination, reflecting assessments of her strength against incumbent Mike Lawler. Minor candidates trail with under 2 percent combined.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$242,967
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 8 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Cait Conley" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Beth Davidson" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $243K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 25, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 8 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Cait Conley" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Beth Davidson" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.